ProShares Long Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

CLIX Etf  USD 45.85  0.39  0.84%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ProShares Long OnlineShort on the next trading day is expected to be 45.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.35. ProShares Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
ProShares Long simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for ProShares Long OnlineShort are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as ProShares Long Onlin prices get older.

ProShares Long Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ProShares Long OnlineShort on the next trading day is expected to be 45.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.35.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ProShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ProShares Long's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ProShares Long Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest ProShares LongProShares Long Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

ProShares Long Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ProShares Long's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ProShares Long's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 44.78 and 46.92, respectively. We have considered ProShares Long's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
45.85
45.85
Expected Value
46.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ProShares Long etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ProShares Long etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.8625
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0645
MADMean absolute deviation0.3892
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0085
SAESum of the absolute errors23.35
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting ProShares Long OnlineShort forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent ProShares Long observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for ProShares Long

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ProShares Long Onlin. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.8745.9447.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.5345.6046.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
45.6145.9846.35
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ProShares Long

For every potential investor in ProShares, whether a beginner or expert, ProShares Long's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ProShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ProShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ProShares Long's price trends.

ProShares Long Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ProShares Long etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ProShares Long could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ProShares Long by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ProShares Long Onlin Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ProShares Long's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ProShares Long's current price.

ProShares Long Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ProShares Long etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ProShares Long shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ProShares Long etf market strength indicators, traders can identify ProShares Long OnlineShort entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ProShares Long Risk Indicators

The analysis of ProShares Long's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ProShares Long's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting proshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether ProShares Long Onlin offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ProShares Long's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Proshares Long Onlineshort Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Proshares Long Onlineshort Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ProShares Long to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
The market value of ProShares Long Onlin is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ProShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ProShares Long's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ProShares Long's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ProShares Long's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ProShares Long's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ProShares Long's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ProShares Long is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ProShares Long's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.