China Longyuan Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CLPXY Stock | USD 8.92 0.03 0.34% |
China Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of China Longyuan's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using China Longyuan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Longyuan Power from the perspective of China Longyuan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of China Longyuan Power on the next trading day is expected to be 8.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.27. China Longyuan after-hype prediction price | USD 8.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
China |
China Longyuan Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
China Longyuan Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of China Longyuan Power on the next trading day is expected to be 8.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.27.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict China Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that China Longyuan's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
China Longyuan Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest China Longyuan | China Longyuan Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
China Longyuan Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting China Longyuan's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. China Longyuan's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.76 and 11.06, respectively. We have considered China Longyuan's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of China Longyuan pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent China Longyuan pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.701 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0224 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1356 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0153 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.2711 |
Predictive Modules for China Longyuan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Longyuan Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of China Longyuan's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
China Longyuan After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of China Longyuan at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Longyuan or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of China Longyuan, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
China Longyuan Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting China Longyuan's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China Longyuan's historical news coverage. China Longyuan's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.77 and 11.07, respectively. We have considered China Longyuan's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
China Longyuan is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Longyuan Power is based on 3 months time horizon.
China Longyuan Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China Longyuan is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Longyuan backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Longyuan, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 2.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
8.92 | 8.92 | 0.00 |
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China Longyuan Hype Timeline
China Longyuan Power is currently traded for 8.92. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. China is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on China Longyuan is about 17916.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.92. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.97. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. China Longyuan Power has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.48. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of June 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of China Longyuan to cross-verify your projections.China Longyuan Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to China Longyuan's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Longyuan's future price movements. Getting to know how China Longyuan's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Longyuan may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TKECF | Tokyo Electric Power | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 7.31 | (8.26) | 25.17 | |
| MDDNF | Meridian Energy Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.38 | |
| DOGEF | Orsted AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.78 | 0.13 | 6.22 | (4.47) | 17.30 | |
| DIPGF | Datang International Power | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.20 | 23.08 | 0.00 | 59.82 | |
| FORFF | Fortis Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 0.69 | 0.00 | 2.41 | |
| EQUEY | Equatorial Energia SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.51 | 0.05 | 5.00 | (5.56) | 23.84 | |
| XNGSY | ENN Energy Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.34 | (1.95) | 6.96 | |
| UEPCN | Union Electric | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.26 | (0.24) | 6.07 | |
| PNAGF | PETRONAS Gas Berhad | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 3.23 | (4.00) | 25.18 | |
| ATGFF | AltaGas | (0.12) | 4 per month | 1.04 | 0.03 | 2.22 | (1.86) | 5.12 |
Other Forecasting Options for China Longyuan
For every potential investor in China, whether a beginner or expert, China Longyuan's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. China Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in China. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying China Longyuan's price trends.China Longyuan Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with China Longyuan pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of China Longyuan could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Longyuan by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
China Longyuan Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how China Longyuan pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading China Longyuan shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying China Longyuan pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify China Longyuan Power entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 8.92 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 8.92 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.015 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.03 |
China Longyuan Risk Indicators
The analysis of China Longyuan's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in China Longyuan's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting china pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Variance | 4.44 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for China Longyuan
The number of cover stories for China Longyuan depends on current market conditions and China Longyuan's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China Longyuan is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China Longyuan's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for China Pink Sheet Analysis
When running China Longyuan's price analysis, check to measure China Longyuan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Longyuan is operating at the current time. Most of China Longyuan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Longyuan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Longyuan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Longyuan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.