Celestica Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| CLS Stock | USD 293.24 9.16 3.03% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Celestica on the next trading day is expected to be 293.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 690.82. Celestica Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Celestica's share price is approaching 37 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Celestica, making its price go up or down. Momentum 37
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.08 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.5226 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.9258 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.4064 | Wall Street Target Price 372.3572 |
Using Celestica hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Celestica from the perspective of Celestica response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Celestica using Celestica's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Celestica using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Celestica's stock price.
Celestica Short Interest
An investor who is long Celestica may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Celestica and may potentially protect profits, hedge Celestica with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 199.4908 | Short Percent 0.0304 | Short Ratio 1.16 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.4 M | 50 Day MA 314.9836 |
Celestica Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Celestica's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Celestica. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Celestica can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Celestica. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Celestica's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Celestica.
Celestica Implied Volatility | 1.12 |
Celestica's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Celestica stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Celestica's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Celestica stock will not fluctuate a lot when Celestica's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Celestica on the next trading day is expected to be 293.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 690.82. Celestica after-hype prediction price | USD 293.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Celestica Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Celestica's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Celestica's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Celestica stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Celestica's open interest, investors have to compare it to Celestica's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Celestica is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Celestica. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Celestica Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Celestica price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Celestica using various technical indicators. When you analyze Celestica charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Celestica Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Celestica on the next trading day is expected to be 293.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.51, mean absolute percentage error of 243.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 690.82.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Celestica Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Celestica's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Celestica Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Celestica | Celestica Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Celestica Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Celestica's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Celestica's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 288.55 and 298.58, respectively. We have considered Celestica's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Celestica stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Celestica stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 2.4088 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 11.5137 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0382 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 690.8204 |
Predictive Modules for Celestica
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Celestica. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Celestica
For every potential investor in Celestica, whether a beginner or expert, Celestica's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Celestica Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Celestica. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Celestica's price trends.Celestica Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Celestica stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Celestica could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Celestica by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Celestica Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Celestica's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Celestica's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Celestica Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Celestica stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Celestica shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Celestica stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Celestica entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 181926.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.39) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 298.68 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 296.87 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (10.02) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (9.16) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 37.35 |
Celestica Risk Indicators
The analysis of Celestica's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Celestica's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting celestica stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.72 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.98 | |||
| Variance | 24.76 | |||
| Downside Variance | 27.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 25.72 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.76) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Celestica Stock Analysis
When running Celestica's price analysis, check to measure Celestica's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Celestica is operating at the current time. Most of Celestica's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Celestica's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Celestica's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Celestica to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.