Colossus Resources Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

CLUS Stock   0.13  0.02  18.18%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Colossus Resources Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.24. Colossus Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Colossus Resources' Total Current Liabilities is fairly stable compared to the past year. Cash is likely to climb to about 124.3 K in 2024, whereas Total Stockholder Equity is likely to drop slightly above 540.7 K in 2024.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Colossus Resources is based on an artificially constructed time series of Colossus Resources daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Colossus Resources 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 22nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Colossus Resources Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00007, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Colossus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Colossus Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Colossus Resources Stock Forecast Pattern

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Colossus Resources Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Colossus Resources' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Colossus Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.78, respectively. We have considered Colossus Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.13
0.12
Expected Value
5.78
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Colossus Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Colossus Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria93.8428
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.001
MADMean absolute deviation0.0045
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0385
SAESum of the absolute errors0.24
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Colossus Resources Corp 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Colossus Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Colossus Resources Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Colossus Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.135.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.105.77
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Colossus Resources

For every potential investor in Colossus, whether a beginner or expert, Colossus Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Colossus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Colossus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Colossus Resources' price trends.

Colossus Resources Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Colossus Resources stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Colossus Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Colossus Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Colossus Resources Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Colossus Resources' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Colossus Resources' current price.

Colossus Resources Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Colossus Resources stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Colossus Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Colossus Resources stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Colossus Resources Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Colossus Resources Risk Indicators

The analysis of Colossus Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Colossus Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting colossus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Colossus Stock Analysis

When running Colossus Resources' price analysis, check to measure Colossus Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Colossus Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Colossus Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Colossus Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Colossus Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Colossus Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.