Computer Direct Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

CMDR Stock  ILS 33,570  30.00  0.09%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Computer Direct on the next trading day is expected to be 31,111 with a mean absolute deviation of 1,042 and the sum of the absolute errors of 63,588. Computer Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Computer Direct stock prices and determine the direction of Computer Direct's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Computer Direct's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Computer Direct price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Computer Direct Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Computer Direct on the next trading day is expected to be 31,111 with a mean absolute deviation of 1,042, mean absolute percentage error of 1,723,930, and the sum of the absolute errors of 63,588.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Computer Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Computer Direct's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Computer Direct Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Computer DirectComputer Direct Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Computer Direct Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Computer Direct's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Computer Direct's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 31,109 and 31,113, respectively. We have considered Computer Direct's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
33,570
31,109
Downside
31,111
Expected Value
31,113
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Computer Direct stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Computer Direct stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria132.4706
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1042.4185
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0378
SAESum of the absolute errors63587.5281
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Computer Direct historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Computer Direct

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Computer Direct. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33,56833,57033,572
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30,21336,68636,688
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
33,55233,58033,608
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Computer Direct

For every potential investor in Computer, whether a beginner or expert, Computer Direct's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Computer Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Computer. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Computer Direct's price trends.

Computer Direct Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Computer Direct stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Computer Direct could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Computer Direct by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Computer Direct Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Computer Direct's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Computer Direct's current price.

Computer Direct Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Computer Direct stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Computer Direct shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Computer Direct stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Computer Direct entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Computer Direct Risk Indicators

The analysis of Computer Direct's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Computer Direct's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting computer stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Computer Stock

Computer Direct financial ratios help investors to determine whether Computer Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Computer with respect to the benefits of owning Computer Direct security.