Columbia Moderate Mutual Fund Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Columbia Moderate Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Columbia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Columbia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Columbia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Triple exponential smoothing for Columbia Moderate - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Columbia Moderate prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Columbia Moderate price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Columbia Moderate 529.

Columbia Moderate Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Columbia Moderate 529 on the next trading day is expected to be 39.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.47.

Columbia Moderate Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Columbia Moderate Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Columbia Moderate mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Columbia Moderate mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Columbia Moderate observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Columbia Moderate 529 observations.

Predictive Modules for Columbia Moderate

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia Moderate 529. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 39.24 39.65 40.06 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 38.83 39.24 39.65 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 38.94 39.40 39.85 Details

Columbia Moderate Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility

Columbia Moderate Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Columbia Moderate Hype Timeline

Columbia Moderate 529 is currently traded for 39.65. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.29. Columbia is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Columbia Moderate is about 4.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.94. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out fundamental analysis of Columbia Moderate to check your projections.

Columbia Moderate Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Columbia Moderate

For every potential investor in Columbia, whether a beginner or expert, Columbia Moderate's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Columbia Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Columbia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Columbia Moderate's price trends.

Columbia Moderate Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Columbia Moderate Market Strength Events

Columbia Moderate Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Columbia Moderate

Other Macroaxis Stories

Other Information on Investing in Columbia Mutual Fund