Compass Pathways Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

CMPS Stock  USD 7.31  0.32  4.19%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Compass Pathways Plc on the next trading day is expected to be 7.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.48. Compass Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Compass Pathways' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Compass Pathways' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Compass Pathways and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Compass Pathways' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Compass Pathways Plc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Compass Pathways hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Compass Pathways Plc from the perspective of Compass Pathways response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Compass Pathways Plc on the next trading day is expected to be 7.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.48.

Compass Pathways after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 7.47  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Compass Pathways to cross-verify your projections.

Compass Pathways Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Compass price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Compass using various technical indicators. When you analyze Compass charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Compass Pathways is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Compass Pathways Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 17th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Compass Pathways Plc on the next trading day is expected to be 7.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.48.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Compass Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Compass Pathways' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Compass Pathways Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Compass PathwaysCompass Pathways Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Compass Pathways Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Compass Pathways' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Compass Pathways' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.45 and 12.17, respectively. We have considered Compass Pathways' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.31
7.31
Expected Value
12.17
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Compass Pathways stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Compass Pathways stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.0428
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0182
MADMean absolute deviation0.258
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0411
SAESum of the absolute errors15.48
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Compass Pathways Plc price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Compass Pathways. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Compass Pathways

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compass Pathways Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.647.4712.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.549.3714.20
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Compass Pathways

For every potential investor in Compass, whether a beginner or expert, Compass Pathways' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Compass Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Compass. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Compass Pathways' price trends.

Compass Pathways Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Compass Pathways stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Compass Pathways could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Compass Pathways by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Compass Pathways Plc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Compass Pathways' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Compass Pathways' current price.

Compass Pathways Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Compass Pathways stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Compass Pathways shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Compass Pathways stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Compass Pathways Plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Compass Pathways Risk Indicators

The analysis of Compass Pathways' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Compass Pathways' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting compass stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Additional Tools for Compass Stock Analysis

When running Compass Pathways' price analysis, check to measure Compass Pathways' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Compass Pathways is operating at the current time. Most of Compass Pathways' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Compass Pathways' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Compass Pathways' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Compass Pathways to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.