CNB Bank OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

CNBN Stock  USD 27.44  0.04  0.15%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CNB Bank Shares on the next trading day is expected to be 27.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.10. CNB OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for CNB Bank is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

CNB Bank Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CNB Bank Shares on the next trading day is expected to be 27.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.57, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CNB OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CNB Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CNB Bank OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest CNB BankCNB Bank Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

CNB Bank Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CNB Bank's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CNB Bank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.75 and 30.13, respectively. We have considered CNB Bank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
27.44
27.44
Expected Value
30.13
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CNB Bank otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CNB Bank otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.8648
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.125
MADMean absolute deviation0.3914
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0155
SAESum of the absolute errors23.095
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of CNB Bank Shares price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of CNB Bank. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for CNB Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CNB Bank Shares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.7727.4430.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.2927.9630.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
21.6624.9528.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CNB Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CNB Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CNB Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CNB Bank Shares.

Other Forecasting Options for CNB Bank

For every potential investor in CNB, whether a beginner or expert, CNB Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CNB OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CNB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CNB Bank's price trends.

CNB Bank Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CNB Bank otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CNB Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CNB Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CNB Bank Shares Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CNB Bank's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CNB Bank's current price.

CNB Bank Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CNB Bank otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CNB Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CNB Bank otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CNB Bank Shares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CNB Bank Risk Indicators

The analysis of CNB Bank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CNB Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cnb otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with CNB Bank

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if CNB Bank position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CNB Bank will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with CNB OTC Stock

  0.69CIHKY China Merchants Bank Normal TradingPairCorr
  0.71CIHHF China Merchants BankPairCorr
  0.67BBDC4 Banco Bradesco SAPairCorr

Moving against CNB OTC Stock

  0.68USB-PH US BancorpPairCorr
  0.47IBN ICICI Bank LimitedPairCorr
  0.41TKURF Tokyu REITPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to CNB Bank could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace CNB Bank when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back CNB Bank - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling CNB Bank Shares to buy it.
The correlation of CNB Bank is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as CNB Bank moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if CNB Bank Shares moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for CNB Bank can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in CNB OTC Stock

CNB Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether CNB OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CNB with respect to the benefits of owning CNB Bank security.