Concejo AB Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

CNCJO-B Stock  SEK 39.10  1.10  2.74%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Concejo AB on the next trading day is expected to be 39.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.90. Concejo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Concejo AB stock prices and determine the direction of Concejo AB's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Concejo AB's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Concejo AB simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Concejo AB are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Concejo AB prices get older.

Concejo AB Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Concejo AB on the next trading day is expected to be 39.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72, mean absolute percentage error of 0.84, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.90.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Concejo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Concejo AB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Concejo AB Stock Forecast Pattern

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Concejo AB Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Concejo AB's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Concejo AB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36.74 and 41.58, respectively. We have considered Concejo AB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
39.10
39.16
Expected Value
41.58
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Concejo AB stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Concejo AB stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.9382
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1277
MADMean absolute deviation0.7196
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0164
SAESum of the absolute errors43.8983
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Concejo AB forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Concejo AB observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Concejo AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Concejo AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.6839.1041.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.4634.8843.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
39.1441.1943.25
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Concejo AB

For every potential investor in Concejo, whether a beginner or expert, Concejo AB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Concejo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Concejo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Concejo AB's price trends.

Concejo AB Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Concejo AB stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Concejo AB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Concejo AB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Concejo AB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Concejo AB's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Concejo AB's current price.

Concejo AB Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Concejo AB stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Concejo AB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Concejo AB stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Concejo AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Concejo AB Risk Indicators

The analysis of Concejo AB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Concejo AB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting concejo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Concejo Stock

Concejo AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Concejo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Concejo with respect to the benefits of owning Concejo AB security.