Connecticut Light Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

CNLPL Stock  USD 52.50  0.49  0.92%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of The Connecticut Light on the next trading day is expected to be 52.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.98. Connecticut Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Connecticut Light's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Connecticut Light's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Connecticut Light and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Connecticut Light's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The Connecticut Light, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Connecticut Light hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Connecticut Light from the perspective of Connecticut Light response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of The Connecticut Light on the next trading day is expected to be 52.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.98.

Connecticut Light after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 52.99  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Connecticut Light to cross-verify your projections.

Connecticut Light Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Connecticut price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Connecticut using various technical indicators. When you analyze Connecticut charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Connecticut Light is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of The Connecticut Light value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Connecticut Light Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of The Connecticut Light on the next trading day is expected to be 52.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.98.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Connecticut Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Connecticut Light's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Connecticut Light Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Connecticut LightConnecticut Light Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Connecticut Light Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Connecticut Light's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Connecticut Light's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 51.22 and 54.07, respectively. We have considered Connecticut Light's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
52.50
52.65
Expected Value
54.07
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Connecticut Light pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Connecticut Light pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.0583
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4423
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0084
SAESum of the absolute errors26.9817
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of The Connecticut Light. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Connecticut Light. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Connecticut Light

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Connecticut Light. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.5752.9954.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.9444.3658.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
51.6052.7453.88
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Connecticut Light

For every potential investor in Connecticut, whether a beginner or expert, Connecticut Light's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Connecticut Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Connecticut. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Connecticut Light's price trends.

Connecticut Light Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Connecticut Light pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Connecticut Light could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Connecticut Light by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Connecticut Light Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Connecticut Light's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Connecticut Light's current price.

Connecticut Light Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Connecticut Light pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Connecticut Light shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Connecticut Light pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify The Connecticut Light entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Connecticut Light Risk Indicators

The analysis of Connecticut Light's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Connecticut Light's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting connecticut pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Connecticut Pink Sheet

Connecticut Light financial ratios help investors to determine whether Connecticut Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Connecticut with respect to the benefits of owning Connecticut Light security.