Connecticut Light Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

CNLPM Stock  USD 33.31  0.05  0.15%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of The Connecticut Light on the next trading day is expected to be 33.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.32. Connecticut Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Connecticut Light is based on an artificially constructed time series of Connecticut Light daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Connecticut Light 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of The Connecticut Light on the next trading day is expected to be 33.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72, mean absolute percentage error of 0.91, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.32.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Connecticut Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Connecticut Light's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Connecticut Light Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Connecticut Light Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Connecticut Light's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Connecticut Light's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.22 and 34.72, respectively. We have considered Connecticut Light's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
33.31
33.47
Expected Value
34.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Connecticut Light pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Connecticut Light pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.3092
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0492
MADMean absolute deviation0.7229
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0202
SAESum of the absolute errors38.315
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. The Connecticut Light 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Connecticut Light

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Connecticut Light. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.0633.3134.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.7831.0336.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
33.1733.3933.60
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Connecticut Light

For every potential investor in Connecticut, whether a beginner or expert, Connecticut Light's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Connecticut Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Connecticut. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Connecticut Light's price trends.

Connecticut Light Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Connecticut Light pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Connecticut Light could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Connecticut Light by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Connecticut Light Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Connecticut Light's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Connecticut Light's current price.

Connecticut Light Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Connecticut Light pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Connecticut Light shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Connecticut Light pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify The Connecticut Light entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Connecticut Light Risk Indicators

The analysis of Connecticut Light's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Connecticut Light's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting connecticut pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Connecticut Pink Sheet

Connecticut Light financial ratios help investors to determine whether Connecticut Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Connecticut with respect to the benefits of owning Connecticut Light security.