Core Main Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| CNM Stock | USD 47.11 0.01 0.02% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Core Main on the next trading day is expected to be 47.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 65.83. Core Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Core Main's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Core Main's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Core Main fundamentals over time.
Core |
Core Main 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Core Main on the next trading day is expected to be 47.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.15, mean absolute percentage error of 1.94, and the sum of the absolute errors of 65.83.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Core Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Core Main's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Core Main Stock Forecast Pattern
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Core Main Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Core Main's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Core Main's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 44.34 and 50.09, respectively. We have considered Core Main's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Core Main stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Core Main stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.4228 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3946 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.155 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0262 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 65.8325 |
Predictive Modules for Core Main
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Core Main. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Core Main
For every potential investor in Core, whether a beginner or expert, Core Main's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Core Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Core. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Core Main's price trends.Core Main Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Core Main stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Core Main could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Core Main by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Core Main Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Core Main's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Core Main's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Core Main Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Core Main stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Core Main shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Core Main stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Core Main entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Core Main Risk Indicators
The analysis of Core Main's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Core Main's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting core stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.86 | |||
| Variance | 8.19 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Core Main to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Core Stock, please use our How to Invest in Core Main guide.You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Trading Companies & Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Core Main. If investors know Core will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Core Main listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Earnings Share 2.1 | Revenue Per Share 37.819 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.055 | Return On Assets 0.0797 |
The market value of Core Main is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Core that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Core Main's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Core Main's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Core Main's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Core Main's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Core Main's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Core Main is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Core Main's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.