CenterPoint Energy Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CNP Stock | USD 39.69 0.10 0.25% |
CenterPoint Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of CenterPoint Energy's share price is at 57 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CenterPoint Energy, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using CenterPoint Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CenterPoint Energy from the perspective of CenterPoint Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CenterPoint Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 39.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.43. CenterPoint Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 39.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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CenterPoint Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CenterPoint price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CenterPoint using various technical indicators. When you analyze CenterPoint charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CenterPoint Energy Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CenterPoint Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 39.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.43.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CenterPoint Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CenterPoint Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CenterPoint Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CenterPoint Energy | CenterPoint Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
CenterPoint Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CenterPoint Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CenterPoint Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 38.81 and 40.57, respectively. We have considered CenterPoint Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CenterPoint Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CenterPoint Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.143 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0195 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2738 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0071 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.43 |
Predictive Modules for CenterPoint Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CenterPoint Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CenterPoint Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CenterPoint Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CenterPoint Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CenterPoint Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CenterPoint Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CenterPoint Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CenterPoint Energy's historical news coverage. CenterPoint Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.68 and 40.44, respectively. We have considered CenterPoint Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CenterPoint Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CenterPoint Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
CenterPoint Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CenterPoint Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CenterPoint Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CenterPoint Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 0.88 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 21 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 21 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
39.69 | 39.56 | 0.33 |
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CenterPoint Energy Hype Timeline
On the 1st of February CenterPoint Energy is traded for 39.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. CenterPoint is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 39.56. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 104.76%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.33%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on CenterPoint Energy is about 553.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.70. About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of CenterPoint Energy was currently reported as 16.9. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.4. CenterPoint Energy last dividend was issued on the 19th of February 2026. The entity had 1000:843 split on the 1st of October 2002. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 21 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CenterPoint Energy to cross-verify your projections.CenterPoint Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CenterPoint Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CenterPoint Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how CenterPoint Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CenterPoint Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SO | Southern Company | 0.77 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.10 | (1.81) | 4.07 | |
| EBR-B | Centrais Eltricas Brasileiras | 0.1 | 8 per month | 4.47 | 0.1 | 5.25 | (3.48) | 31.49 | |
| FTS | Fortis Inc | (0.36) | 8 per month | 0.56 | 0.05 | 1.35 | (1.00) | 2.88 | |
| AWK | American Water Works | 0.48 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.95 | (2.30) | 6.26 | |
| ATO | Atmos Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.38 | (1.76) | 4.31 | |
| EBR | Centrais Electricas Brasileiras | (0.02) | 5 per month | 4.49 | 0.1 | 2.80 | (3.23) | 32.39 | |
| FE | FirstEnergy | 0.32 | 9 per month | 0.89 | 0 | 1.35 | (1.30) | 4.05 | |
| PPL | PPL Corporation | (0.27) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.57 | (1.61) | 4.62 | |
| AEE | Ameren Corp | 1.12 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.09 | (1.45) | 5.74 | |
| DTE | DTE Energy | (0.55) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.32 | (1.74) | 4.73 |
Other Forecasting Options for CenterPoint Energy
For every potential investor in CenterPoint, whether a beginner or expert, CenterPoint Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CenterPoint Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CenterPoint. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CenterPoint Energy's price trends.CenterPoint Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CenterPoint Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CenterPoint Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CenterPoint Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CenterPoint Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CenterPoint Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CenterPoint Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CenterPoint Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CenterPoint Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CenterPoint Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of CenterPoint Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CenterPoint Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting centerpoint stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6902 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9247 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8843 | |||
| Variance | 0.782 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.04 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8551 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.69) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CenterPoint Energy
The number of cover stories for CenterPoint Energy depends on current market conditions and CenterPoint Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CenterPoint Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CenterPoint Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CenterPoint Energy Short Properties
CenterPoint Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when CenterPoint Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CenterPoint Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CenterPoint Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CenterPoint Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 644.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 585 M |
Additional Tools for CenterPoint Stock Analysis
When running CenterPoint Energy's price analysis, check to measure CenterPoint Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CenterPoint Energy is operating at the current time. Most of CenterPoint Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CenterPoint Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CenterPoint Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CenterPoint Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.