Centor Energy Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

CNTO Stock  USD 0.00001  0.00  0.00%   
Centor Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Centor Energy's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Centor Energy's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Centor Energy fundamentals over time.
As of today The relative strength momentum indicator of Centor Energy's share price is above 80 suggesting that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 100

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Centor Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Centor Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Centor Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Centor Energy from the perspective of Centor Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Centor Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000016 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00001.

Centor Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Centor Energy to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Centor Stock, please use our How to Invest in Centor Energy guide.

Centor Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Centor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Centor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Centor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Centor Energy simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Centor Energy are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Centor Energy prices get older.

Centor Energy Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Centor Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000016, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00001.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Centor Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Centor Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Centor Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Centor Energy  Centor Energy Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Centor Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Centor Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Centor Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 128.04, respectively. We have considered Centor Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00001
0.00001
Expected Value
128.04
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Centor Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Centor Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria90.9738
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Centor Energy forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Centor Energy observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Centor Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Centor Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Centor Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Centor Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Centor Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Centor Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Centor Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Centor Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Centor Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Centor Energy's historical news coverage. Centor Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Centor Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.00001
0.00
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
Centor Energy is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Centor Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Centor Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Centor Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Centor Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Centor Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  16.39 
128.04
 0.00  
 0.00  
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.00001
0.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Centor Energy Hype Timeline

Centor Energy is currently traded for 0.00001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Centor is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 16.39%. %. The volatility of related hype on Centor Energy is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Centor Energy had 6:1 split on the 20th of March 2013. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Centor Energy to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Centor Stock, please use our How to Invest in Centor Energy guide.

Centor Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Centor Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Centor Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Centor Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Centor Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WARAFWaraba Gold Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CHCXCTGX Mining 0.00 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NILANilam Resources 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ETCKEnerteck 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00  0.00  1,493 
DANRDana Resources 0.00 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
WLABWhite Label Liquid 0.00 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AFMLAerofoam Metals 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
HFGVFHanfeng Evergreen 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
HZNMHorizon Minerals Corp 0.00 7 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CMLGFCaNickel Mining Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Centor Energy

For every potential investor in Centor, whether a beginner or expert, Centor Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Centor Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Centor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Centor Energy's price trends.

Centor Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Centor Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Centor Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Centor Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Centor Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Centor Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Centor Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Centor Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Centor Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Centor Energy

The number of cover stories for Centor Energy depends on current market conditions and Centor Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Centor Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Centor Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Centor Energy Short Properties

Centor Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Centor Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Centor Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Centor Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Centor Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding68.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments22.6 K
When determining whether Centor Energy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Centor Energy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Centor Energy Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Centor Energy Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Centor Energy to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Centor Stock, please use our How to Invest in Centor Energy guide.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Will Diversified Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Centor diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Centor Energy. Projected growth potential of Centor fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Centor Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Return On Assets
(6.09)
The market value of Centor Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Centor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Centor Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Centor Energy's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Centor Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Centor Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Centor Energy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Centor Energy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Centor Energy's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.