PC Connection Stock Forward View
| CNXN Stock | USD 63.78 0.04 0.06% |
CNXN Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although PC Connection's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of PC Connection's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of PC Connection fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of PC Connection's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.04 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.615 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.795 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.195 | Wall Street Target Price 76 |
Using PC Connection hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PC Connection from the perspective of PC Connection response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards PC Connection using PC Connection's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CNXN using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of PC Connection's stock price.
PC Connection Short Interest
An investor who is long PC Connection may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about PC Connection and may potentially protect profits, hedge PC Connection with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 62.4149 | Short Percent 0.0929 | Short Ratio 5.68 | Shares Short Prior Month 323.4 K | 50 Day MA 59.6972 |
CNXN Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of PC Connection on the next trading day is expected to be 63.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.74.PC Connection Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PC Connection's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CNXN. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CNXN can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PC Connection. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PC Connection's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PC Connection.
PC Connection Implied Volatility | 0.33 |
PC Connection's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PC Connection stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PC Connection's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that PC Connection stock will not fluctuate a lot when PC Connection's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of PC Connection on the next trading day is expected to be 63.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.74. PC Connection after-hype prediction price | USD 64.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PC Connection to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CNXN contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that PC Connection will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0206% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With PC Connection trading at USD 63.78, that is roughly USD 0.0132 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating PC Connection's daily price movement you should consider acquiring PC Connection options at the current volatility level of 0.33%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 CNXN Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast PC Connection's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in PC Connection's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for PC Connection stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current PC Connection's open interest, investors have to compare it to PC Connection's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of PC Connection is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in CNXN. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
PC Connection Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CNXN price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CNXN using various technical indicators. When you analyze CNXN charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PC Connection Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the PC Connection's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1998-06-30 | Previous Quarter 187.8 M | Current Value 193.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 53.5 M |
PC Connection Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of PC Connection on the next trading day is expected to be 63.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00, mean absolute percentage error of 1.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.74.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CNXN Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PC Connection's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PC Connection Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PC Connection | PC Connection Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
PC Connection Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PC Connection's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PC Connection's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 62.03 and 65.82, respectively. We have considered PC Connection's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PC Connection stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PC Connection stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.6121 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9958 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0165 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 60.7416 |
Predictive Modules for PC Connection
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PC Connection. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PC Connection's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PC Connection After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PC Connection at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PC Connection or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PC Connection, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PC Connection Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PC Connection's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PC Connection's historical news coverage. PC Connection's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 62.20 and 66.00, respectively. We have considered PC Connection's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PC Connection is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PC Connection is based on 3 months time horizon.
PC Connection Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PC Connection is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PC Connection backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PC Connection, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 1.90 | 0.28 | 0.06 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
63.78 | 64.10 | 0.44 |
|
PC Connection Hype Timeline
PC Connection is currently traded for 63.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.28, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. CNXN is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 64.1 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 152.0%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.44%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on PC Connection is about 719.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 63.84. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.87 B. Net Income was 83.72 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 539.33 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PC Connection to cross-verify your projections.PC Connection Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PC Connection's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PC Connection's future price movements. Getting to know how PC Connection's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PC Connection may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ADEA | ADEIA P | 0.02 | 9 per month | 2.01 | 0.10 | 4.89 | (3.51) | 36.55 | |
| PLAB | Photronics | 0.44 | 9 per month | 2.85 | 0.14 | 6.21 | (5.90) | 54.22 | |
| PLTK | Playtika Holding Corp | (0.12) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.18 | (4.18) | 11.14 | |
| VYX | NCR Voyix | 0.11 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.04 | (4.27) | 14.15 | |
| HIMX | Himax Technologies | 0.13 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.22 | (3.90) | 16.27 | |
| KDK | Kodiak AI Common | (0.18) | 9 per month | 4.55 | 0.03 | 8.29 | (6.73) | 20.14 | |
| ALIT | Alight Inc | (0.05) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 5.23 | (5.63) | 15.07 | |
| PRCH | Porch Group | 0.15 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.27 | (6.30) | 16.76 | |
| KARO | Karooooo | 0.92 | 9 per month | 1.77 | 0.02 | 4.32 | (3.18) | 12.10 | |
| SCSC | ScanSource | 1.22 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.06 | (4.60) | 22.72 |
Other Forecasting Options for PC Connection
For every potential investor in CNXN, whether a beginner or expert, PC Connection's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CNXN Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CNXN. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PC Connection's price trends.PC Connection Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PC Connection stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PC Connection could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PC Connection by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PC Connection Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PC Connection stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PC Connection shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PC Connection stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PC Connection entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
PC Connection Risk Indicators
The analysis of PC Connection's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PC Connection's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cnxn stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Variance | 3.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.32 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.02 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.54) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PC Connection
The number of cover stories for PC Connection depends on current market conditions and PC Connection's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PC Connection is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PC Connection's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
PC Connection Short Properties
PC Connection's future price predictability will typically decrease when PC Connection's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PC Connection often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PC Connection's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PC Connection's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 406.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PC Connection to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in CNXN Stock, please use our How to Invest in PC Connection guide.You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Will Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector continue expanding? Could CNXN diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PC Connection. Projected growth potential of CNXN fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every PC Connection data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.04 | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share 3.27 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of PC Connection is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CNXN that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PC Connection's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PC Connection's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because PC Connection's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PC Connection's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between PC Connection's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding PC Connection should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, PC Connection's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.