Coca-Cola FEMSA Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Regression

COCSF Stock  USD 10.23  0.40  3.76%   
Coca-Cola Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Coca-Cola FEMSA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Coca-Cola FEMSA's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Coca-Cola FEMSA's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Coca-Cola FEMSA and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Coca-Cola FEMSA's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Coca Cola FEMSA SAB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Coca-Cola FEMSA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Coca Cola FEMSA SAB from the perspective of Coca-Cola FEMSA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Coca Cola FEMSA SAB on the next trading day is expected to be 10.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.80.

Coca-Cola FEMSA after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coca-Cola FEMSA to cross-verify your projections.

Coca-Cola FEMSA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Coca-Cola price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Coca-Cola using various technical indicators. When you analyze Coca-Cola charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Coca-Cola FEMSA price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Coca-Cola FEMSA Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Coca Cola FEMSA SAB on the next trading day is expected to be 10.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.80.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Coca-Cola Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Coca-Cola FEMSA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Coca-Cola FEMSA Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Coca-Cola FEMSA  Coca-Cola FEMSA Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Coca-Cola FEMSA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Coca-Cola FEMSA's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Coca-Cola FEMSA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.30 and 13.82, respectively. We have considered Coca-Cola FEMSA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.23
10.56
Expected Value
13.82
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Coca-Cola FEMSA pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Coca-Cola FEMSA pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.6233
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2263
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0236
SAESum of the absolute errors13.8048
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Coca Cola FEMSA SAB historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Coca-Cola FEMSA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coca Cola FEMSA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Coca-Cola FEMSA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.4410.7013.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.9910.2513.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
9.9710.6111.26
Details

Coca-Cola FEMSA After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Coca-Cola FEMSA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Coca-Cola FEMSA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Coca-Cola FEMSA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Coca-Cola FEMSA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Coca-Cola FEMSA's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Coca-Cola FEMSA's historical news coverage. Coca-Cola FEMSA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.44 and 13.96, respectively. We have considered Coca-Cola FEMSA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.23
10.70
After-hype Price
13.96
Upside
Coca-Cola FEMSA is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Coca Cola FEMSA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Coca-Cola FEMSA Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Coca-Cola FEMSA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Coca-Cola FEMSA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Coca-Cola FEMSA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.31 
3.26
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.23
10.70
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Coca-Cola FEMSA Hype Timeline

Coca Cola FEMSA is currently traded for 10.23. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Coca-Cola is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.31%. %. The volatility of related hype on Coca-Cola FEMSA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.23. About 19.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Coca-Cola FEMSA was currently reported as 573.36. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of October 3030190. Coca Cola FEMSA had 3:1 split on the 22nd of January 1998. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coca-Cola FEMSA to cross-verify your projections.

Coca-Cola FEMSA Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Coca-Cola FEMSA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Coca-Cola FEMSA's future price movements. Getting to know how Coca-Cola FEMSA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Coca-Cola FEMSA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
YKLTFYakult Honsha CoLtd 0.00 0 per month 5.73  0.03  13.50 (9.51) 24.49 
YKLTYYakult Honsha Co 0.00 0 per month 4.42  0.01  8.34 (7.38) 21.77 
TATYYTate Lyle PLC 0.00 0 per month 2.14  0.01  2.21 (3.69) 9.30 
UNPSFUni President China Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GLAPYGlanbia PLC ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.16  0.50  0.00  12.11 
ACOPYThe A2 Milk 0.00 0 per month 2.02 (0) 3.93 (5.36) 14.34 
NCHEYNichirei 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
UNLRFPT Unilever Indonesia 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.06  0.00  0.00  33.19 
BICEYSocit BIC SA 0.00 0 per month 1.36  0.11  2.33 (2.03) 8.55 
BZLFYBunzl plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.52 (1.93) 6.47 

Other Forecasting Options for Coca-Cola FEMSA

For every potential investor in Coca-Cola, whether a beginner or expert, Coca-Cola FEMSA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Coca-Cola Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Coca-Cola. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Coca-Cola FEMSA's price trends.

Coca-Cola FEMSA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Coca-Cola FEMSA pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Coca-Cola FEMSA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coca-Cola FEMSA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Coca-Cola FEMSA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Coca-Cola FEMSA pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Coca-Cola FEMSA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Coca-Cola FEMSA pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Coca Cola FEMSA SAB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Coca-Cola FEMSA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Coca-Cola FEMSA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Coca-Cola FEMSA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coca-cola pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Coca-Cola FEMSA

The number of cover stories for Coca-Cola FEMSA depends on current market conditions and Coca-Cola FEMSA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Coca-Cola FEMSA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Coca-Cola FEMSA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Coca-Cola Pink Sheet

When determining whether Coca Cola FEMSA is a strong investment it is important to analyze Coca-Cola FEMSA's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Coca-Cola FEMSA's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Coca-Cola Pink Sheet, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coca-Cola FEMSA to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
It's important to distinguish between Coca-Cola FEMSA's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Coca-Cola FEMSA should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Coca-Cola FEMSA's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.