Coffee Stain Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

COFFEE-B   18.20  0.24  1.34%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Coffee Stain Group on the next trading day is expected to be 18.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.66. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Coffee Stain's stock prices and determine the direction of Coffee Stain Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Coffee Stain's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in services. At this time the value of rsi of Coffee Stain's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Coffee Stain's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Coffee Stain Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Coffee Stain hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Coffee Stain Group from the perspective of Coffee Stain response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Coffee Stain Group on the next trading day is expected to be 18.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.66.

Coffee Stain after-hype prediction price

    
  SEK 18.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in services.

Coffee Stain Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Coffee price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Coffee using various technical indicators. When you analyze Coffee charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Coffee Stain is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Coffee Stain Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Coffee Stain Group on the next trading day is expected to be 18.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Coffee Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Coffee Stain's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Coffee Stain Stock Forecast Pattern

Coffee Stain Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Coffee Stain's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Coffee Stain's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.61 and 20.79, respectively. We have considered Coffee Stain's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18.20
18.20
Expected Value
20.79
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Coffee Stain stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Coffee Stain stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria69.2409
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1637
MADMean absolute deviation0.4189
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0199
SAESum of the absolute errors14.66
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Coffee Stain Group price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Coffee Stain. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Coffee Stain

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coffee Stain Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Coffee Stain's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

Coffee Stain Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

As far as predicting the price of Coffee Stain at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Coffee Stain or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Coffee Stain, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Coffee Stain Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Coffee Stain is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Coffee Stain backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Coffee Stain, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.56 
2.59
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
18.20
18.20
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Coffee Stain Hype Timeline

Coffee Stain Group is currently traded for 18.20on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Coffee is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.56%. %. The volatility of related hype on Coffee Stain is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.20. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in services.

Coffee Stain Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Coffee Stain's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Coffee Stain's future price movements. Getting to know how Coffee Stain's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Coffee Stain may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Coffee Stain

For every potential investor in Coffee, whether a beginner or expert, Coffee Stain's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Coffee Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Coffee. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Coffee Stain's price trends.

Coffee Stain Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Coffee Stain stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Coffee Stain could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coffee Stain by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Coffee Stain Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Coffee Stain stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Coffee Stain shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Coffee Stain stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Coffee Stain Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Coffee Stain Risk Indicators

The analysis of Coffee Stain's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Coffee Stain's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coffee stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Coffee Stain

The number of cover stories for Coffee Stain depends on current market conditions and Coffee Stain's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Coffee Stain is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Coffee Stain's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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