COMSovereign Holding Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| COMS Stock | USD 0 0.0005 23.81% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of COMSovereign Holding Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0005 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.08. COMSovereign Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
COMSovereign |
COMSovereign Holding Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of COMSovereign Holding Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0005 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000397, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.08.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict COMSovereign Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that COMSovereign Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
COMSovereign Holding Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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COMSovereign Holding Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting COMSovereign Holding's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. COMSovereign Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000016 and 67.29, respectively. We have considered COMSovereign Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of COMSovereign Holding pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent COMSovereign Holding pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 105.674 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0013 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.6456 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0765 |
Predictive Modules for COMSovereign Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as COMSovereign Holding Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for COMSovereign Holding
For every potential investor in COMSovereign, whether a beginner or expert, COMSovereign Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. COMSovereign Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in COMSovereign. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying COMSovereign Holding's price trends.COMSovereign Holding Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with COMSovereign Holding pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of COMSovereign Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing COMSovereign Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
COMSovereign Holding Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of COMSovereign Holding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of COMSovereign Holding's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
COMSovereign Holding Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how COMSovereign Holding pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading COMSovereign Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying COMSovereign Holding pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify COMSovereign Holding Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.76 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0016 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0016 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.0003) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.0005) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 45.98 |
COMSovereign Holding Risk Indicators
The analysis of COMSovereign Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in COMSovereign Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting comsovereign pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 40.0 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 24.87 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 66.91 | |||
| Variance | 4477.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2885.72 | |||
| Semi Variance | 618.65 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (88.35) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for COMSovereign Pink Sheet Analysis
When running COMSovereign Holding's price analysis, check to measure COMSovereign Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy COMSovereign Holding is operating at the current time. Most of COMSovereign Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of COMSovereign Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move COMSovereign Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of COMSovereign Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.