Mr Cooper Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

COOP Stock  USD 99.42  1.09  1.11%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mr Cooper Group on the next trading day is expected to be 97.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 132.57. COOP Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Mr Cooper's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Mr Cooper's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Mr Cooper fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Mr Cooper's Inventory Turnover is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/22/2024, Payables Turnover is likely to grow to 0.59, while Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 1.71. . As of 11/22/2024, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 1.1 B, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 53.3 M.

Mr Cooper Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Mr Cooper's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1989-06-30
Previous Quarter
804 M
Current Value
733 M
Quarterly Volatility
2.6 B
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Mr Cooper is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Mr Cooper Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Mr Cooper Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mr Cooper Group on the next trading day is expected to be 97.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.17, mean absolute percentage error of 6.81, and the sum of the absolute errors of 132.57.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict COOP Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mr Cooper's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mr Cooper Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Mr CooperMr Cooper Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Mr Cooper Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mr Cooper's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mr Cooper's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 95.90 and 99.36, respectively. We have considered Mr Cooper's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
99.42
97.63
Expected Value
99.36
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mr Cooper stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mr Cooper stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.0296
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.1733
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0233
SAESum of the absolute errors132.5702
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Mr Cooper Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Mr Cooper. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Mr Cooper

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mr Cooper Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
96.6098.33100.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
94.5296.25108.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
85.3994.45103.52
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
61.3367.4074.81
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Mr Cooper

For every potential investor in COOP, whether a beginner or expert, Mr Cooper's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. COOP Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in COOP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mr Cooper's price trends.

Mr Cooper Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mr Cooper stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mr Cooper could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mr Cooper by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mr Cooper Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mr Cooper's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mr Cooper's current price.

Mr Cooper Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mr Cooper stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mr Cooper shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mr Cooper stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mr Cooper Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mr Cooper Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mr Cooper's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mr Cooper's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coop stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Mr Cooper

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Mr Cooper position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Mr Cooper will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with COOP Stock

  0.62V Visa Class APairCorr
  0.67DHIL Diamond Hill InvestmentPairCorr
  0.64DIST Distoken AcquisitionPairCorr

Moving against COOP Stock

  0.57PT Pintec TechnologyPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Mr Cooper could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Mr Cooper when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Mr Cooper - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Mr Cooper Group to buy it.
The correlation of Mr Cooper is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Mr Cooper moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Mr Cooper Group moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Mr Cooper can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for COOP Stock Analysis

When running Mr Cooper's price analysis, check to measure Mr Cooper's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mr Cooper is operating at the current time. Most of Mr Cooper's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mr Cooper's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mr Cooper's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mr Cooper to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.