Camino Minerals Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

COR Stock  CAD 0.05  0.01  25.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Camino Minerals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0007 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04. Camino Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Camino Minerals simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Camino Minerals are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Camino Minerals prices get older.

Camino Minerals Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Camino Minerals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0007, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000667, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Camino Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Camino Minerals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Camino Minerals Stock Forecast Pattern

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Camino Minerals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Camino Minerals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Camino Minerals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0005 and 5.29, respectively. We have considered Camino Minerals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.05
0.0005
Downside
0.05
Expected Value
5.29
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Camino Minerals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Camino Minerals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.3542
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation7.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0136
SAESum of the absolute errors0.04
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Camino Minerals forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Camino Minerals observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Camino Minerals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Camino Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.055.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.045.28
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Camino Minerals

For every potential investor in Camino, whether a beginner or expert, Camino Minerals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Camino Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Camino. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Camino Minerals' price trends.

Camino Minerals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Camino Minerals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Camino Minerals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Camino Minerals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Camino Minerals Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Camino Minerals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Camino Minerals' current price.

Camino Minerals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Camino Minerals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Camino Minerals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Camino Minerals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Camino Minerals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Camino Minerals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Camino Minerals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Camino Minerals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting camino stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Camino Stock Analysis

When running Camino Minerals' price analysis, check to measure Camino Minerals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Camino Minerals is operating at the current time. Most of Camino Minerals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Camino Minerals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Camino Minerals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Camino Minerals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.