American Beacon Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CPII Etf | USD 18.90 0.01 0.05% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of American Beacon Select on the next trading day is expected to be 18.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.07. American Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of American Beacon's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength momentum indicator of American Beacon's share price is below 20 suggesting that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using American Beacon hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Beacon Select from the perspective of American Beacon response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards American Beacon using American Beacon's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards American using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of American Beacon's stock price.
American Beacon Implied Volatility | 0.37 |
American Beacon's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of American Beacon Select stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if American Beacon's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that American Beacon stock will not fluctuate a lot when American Beacon's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of American Beacon Select on the next trading day is expected to be 18.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.07. American Beacon after-hype prediction price | USD 18.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
American | Build AI portfolio with American Etf |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current American contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that American Beacon Select will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0231% per day over the life of the 2026-02-20 option contract. With American Beacon trading at USD 18.9, that is roughly USD 0.004371 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating American Beacon's daily price movement you should consider acquiring American Beacon Select options at the current volatility level of 0.37%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 American Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast American Beacon's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in American Beacon's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for American Beacon stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current American Beacon's open interest, investors have to compare it to American Beacon's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of American Beacon is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in American. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
American Beacon Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
American Beacon Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of American Beacon Select on the next trading day is expected to be 18.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.07.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict American Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that American Beacon's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
American Beacon Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest American Beacon | American Beacon Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
American Beacon Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting American Beacon's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. American Beacon's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.78 and 19.02, respectively. We have considered American Beacon's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of American Beacon etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent American Beacon etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.4776 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0175 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 9.0E-4 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.0697 |
Predictive Modules for American Beacon
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Beacon Select. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.American Beacon After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of American Beacon at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Beacon or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of American Beacon, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
American Beacon Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting American Beacon's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Beacon's historical news coverage. American Beacon's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.78 and 19.02, respectively. We have considered American Beacon's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
American Beacon is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Beacon Select is based on 3 months time horizon.
American Beacon Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as American Beacon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Beacon backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Beacon, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 15 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.90 | 18.90 | 0.00 |
|
American Beacon Hype Timeline
American Beacon Select is currently traded for 18.90. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. American is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on American Beacon is about 179.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.90. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.29. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. American Beacon Select had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 15 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Beacon to cross-verify your projections.American Beacon Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to American Beacon's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Beacon's future price movements. Getting to know how American Beacon's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Beacon may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LTTI | First Trust Exchange Traded | 0.04 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 0.58 | (0.94) | 2.29 | |
| BFIX | Build Funds Trust | 0.06 | 2 per month | 0.16 | (0.35) | 0.39 | (0.39) | 1.11 | |
| RDTY | YieldMax R2000 0DTE | 0.44 | 2 per month | 0.97 | (0.01) | 1.63 | (1.66) | 4.95 | |
| TYO | Direxion Daily 7 10 | 0.08 | 5 per month | 0.42 | 0.0007 | 1.34 | (0.88) | 3.11 | |
| DMCY | Democracy International | 0.05 | 1 per month | 0.54 | 0.03 | 1.11 | (1.12) | 2.87 | |
| MULL | GraniteShares 2x Long | (1.56) | 3 per month | 6.20 | 0.24 | 18.09 | (11.24) | 40.17 | |
| SPDG | SPDR Series Trust | 0.30 | 3 per month | 0.56 | 0.01 | 1.49 | (1.24) | 3.81 | |
| UTRE | US Treasury 3 | (0.04) | 2 per month | 0.06 | (1.05) | 0.14 | (0.14) | 0.38 | |
| WEED | Roundhill Cannabis ETF | 0.09 | 6 per month | 6.42 | 0.03 | 11.64 | (8.70) | 82.53 | |
| CVRT | Calamos ETF Trust | (0.13) | 2 per month | 1.33 | 0.04 | 2.22 | (2.40) | 5.60 |
Other Forecasting Options for American Beacon
For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Beacon's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Beacon's price trends.American Beacon Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American Beacon etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American Beacon could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Beacon by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
American Beacon Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how American Beacon etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American Beacon shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying American Beacon etf market strength indicators, traders can identify American Beacon Select entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 18.9 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 18.9 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 |
American Beacon Risk Indicators
The analysis of American Beacon's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Beacon's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting american etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.0875 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1175 | |||
| Variance | 0.0138 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for American Beacon
The number of cover stories for American Beacon depends on current market conditions and American Beacon's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Beacon is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Beacon's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Beacon to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
The market value of American Beacon Select is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Beacon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Beacon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Beacon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Beacon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Beacon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Beacon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Beacon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.