Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| CPIX Stock | USD 3.93 0.11 2.72% |
Cumberland Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' share price is approaching 49 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cumberland Pharmaceuticals, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Cumberland Pharmaceuticals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cumberland Pharmaceuticals from the perspective of Cumberland Pharmaceuticals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Cumberland Pharmaceuticals on the next trading day is expected to be 3.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.05. Cumberland Pharmaceuticals after-hype prediction price | USD 3.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cumberland price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cumberland using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cumberland charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Cumberland Pharmaceuticals on the next trading day is expected to be 3.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.05.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cumberland Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Stock Forecast Pattern
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Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 10.38, respectively. We have considered Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cumberland Pharmaceuticals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cumberland Pharmaceuticals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.8461 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0169 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1874 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0579 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.055 |
Predictive Modules for Cumberland Pharmaceuticals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cumberland Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cumberland Pharmaceuticals After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cumberland Pharmaceuticals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cumberland Pharmaceuticals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cumberland Pharmaceuticals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' historical news coverage. Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.20 and 10.34, respectively. We have considered Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cumberland Pharmaceuticals is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cumberland Pharmaceuticals is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cumberland Pharmaceuticals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cumberland Pharmaceuticals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cumberland Pharmaceuticals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.48 | 6.45 | 2.45 | 0.01 | 22 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 22 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.93 | 3.93 | 0.00 |
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Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Hype Timeline
Cumberland Pharmaceuticals is currently traded for 3.93. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 2.45, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Cumberland is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 126.22%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.48%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cumberland Pharmaceuticals is about 49615.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.94. About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Cumberland Pharmaceuticals was currently reported as 1.75. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.24. Cumberland Pharmaceuticals last dividend was issued on the 29th of October 2010. The entity had 2:1 split on the 6th of July 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 22 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cumberland Pharmaceuticals to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Cumberland Stock please use our How to Invest in Cumberland Pharmaceuticals guide.Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. Getting to know how Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cumberland Pharmaceuticals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| QNTM | Quantum BioPharma | (0.02) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 13.19 | (11.72) | 59.29 | |
| RMTI | Rockwell Medical | (0.02) | 8 per month | 3.95 | 0 | 6.38 | (6.52) | 40.19 | |
| ABVC | ABVC Biopharma | 0.01 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 6.44 | (6.35) | 17.75 | |
| LTRN | Lantern Pharma | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 8.59 | (5.57) | 23.91 | |
| NOTV | Inotiv Inc | 0.39 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 7.41 | (7.95) | 39.39 | |
| CALC | CalciMedica Common Stock | (0.06) | 8 per month | 3.75 | 0.15 | 12.74 | (7.12) | 40.42 | |
| LVTX | LAVA Therapeutics NV | 0.01 | 12 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 6.25 | (2.94) | 11.10 | |
| DYAI | Dyadic International | (0.06) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 7.27 | (6.32) | 16.34 | |
| RVPH | Reviva Pharmaceuticals Holdings | (0.06) | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.71 | (13.24) | 75.31 | |
| CELU | Celularity | (0.06) | 20 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 9.01 | (8.97) | 26.97 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cumberland Pharmaceuticals
For every potential investor in Cumberland, whether a beginner or expert, Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cumberland Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cumberland. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' price trends.Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cumberland Pharmaceuticals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cumberland Pharmaceuticals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cumberland Pharmaceuticals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cumberland Pharmaceuticals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cumberland Pharmaceuticals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cumberland Pharmaceuticals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cumberland Pharmaceuticals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cumberland stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.59 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.74 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.41 | |||
| Variance | 41.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 26.81 | |||
| Semi Variance | 22.45 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.61) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cumberland Pharmaceuticals
The number of cover stories for Cumberland Pharmaceuticals depends on current market conditions and Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cumberland Pharmaceuticals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Short Properties
Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' future price predictability will typically decrease when Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cumberland Pharmaceuticals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18 M |
Additional Tools for Cumberland Stock Analysis
When running Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' price analysis, check to measure Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cumberland Pharmaceuticals is operating at the current time. Most of Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cumberland Pharmaceuticals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.