Capital Properties OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

CPTP Stock  USD 13.50  0.24  1.81%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Capital Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 13.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.37. Capital OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Capital Properties' share price is below 20 suggesting that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Capital Properties stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Capital Properties shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Capital Properties' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Capital Properties and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Capital Properties' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Capital Properties, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Capital Properties hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Capital Properties from the perspective of Capital Properties response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Capital Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 13.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.37.

Capital Properties after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 13.53  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Capital Properties to cross-verify your projections.

Capital Properties Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Capital price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Capital using various technical indicators. When you analyze Capital charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Capital Properties price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Capital Properties Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Capital Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 13.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.37.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Capital OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Capital Properties' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Capital Properties OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Capital PropertiesCapital Properties Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Capital Properties Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Capital Properties' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Capital Properties' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.78 and 17.79, respectively. We have considered Capital Properties' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.50
13.28
Expected Value
17.79
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Capital Properties otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Capital Properties otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.4883
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3446
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0288
SAESum of the absolute errors21.3655
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Capital Properties historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Capital Properties

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Capital Properties' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.0213.5318.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.2110.7215.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.1712.5413.90
Details

Capital Properties After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Capital Properties at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Capital Properties or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Capital Properties, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Capital Properties Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Capital Properties' otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Capital Properties' historical news coverage. Capital Properties' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.02 and 18.04, respectively. We have considered Capital Properties' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.50
13.53
After-hype Price
18.04
Upside
Capital Properties is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Capital Properties is based on 3 months time horizon.

Capital Properties OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Capital Properties is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Capital Properties backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Capital Properties, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.35 
4.51
  0.03 
  0.15 
2 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.50
13.53
0.22 
4,510  
Notes

Capital Properties Hype Timeline

Capital Properties is currently traded for 13.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.15. Capital is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 13.53 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.35%. The volatility of related hype on Capital Properties is about 1034.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.65. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.81 M. Net Income was 1.84 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.96 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Capital Properties to cross-verify your projections.

Capital Properties Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Capital Properties' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Capital Properties' future price movements. Getting to know how Capital Properties' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Capital Properties may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PKTEFParkit Enterprise 0.1 2 per month 0.00 (0.02) 0.00  0.00  23.40 
MHIVFInvesque 2.08 9 per month 8.99  0.09  23.08 (13.04) 75.87 
BVERSBeaver Coal Co 0.00 0 per month 4.53 (0.0002) 5.24 (7.50) 23.33 
BREUFBridgemarq Real Estate 2.08 6 per month 1.43  0.04  2.62 (2.81) 8.77 
OJOCOjai Oil Company 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.42) 0.30  0.00  1.50 
LPMDFLippo Malls Indonesia 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.00  0.00  40.00 
CNNRFCanadian Net Real 0.00 0 per month 1.27  0.08  2.87 (2.53) 9.21 
KANPKaanapali Land LLC 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 0.69 (6.08) 18.32 
MRTIMaxus Realty Trust 0.00 0 per month 5.04  0.09  12.36 (8.20) 40.37 
FHRTFirst Hartford 0.1 2 per month 2.09  0.09  11.11 (4.53) 22.33 

Other Forecasting Options for Capital Properties

For every potential investor in Capital, whether a beginner or expert, Capital Properties' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Capital OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Capital. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Capital Properties' price trends.

Capital Properties Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Capital Properties otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Capital Properties could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Capital Properties by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Capital Properties Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Capital Properties otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Capital Properties shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Capital Properties otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Capital Properties entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Capital Properties Risk Indicators

The analysis of Capital Properties' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Capital Properties' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting capital otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Capital Properties

The number of cover stories for Capital Properties depends on current market conditions and Capital Properties' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Capital Properties is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Capital Properties' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Capital Properties Short Properties

Capital Properties' future price predictability will typically decrease when Capital Properties' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Capital Properties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Capital Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capital Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.4 M

Additional Tools for Capital OTC Stock Analysis

When running Capital Properties' price analysis, check to measure Capital Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capital Properties is operating at the current time. Most of Capital Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capital Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capital Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capital Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.