Capital Power Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| CPX Stock | CAD 59.85 1.05 1.79% |
Capital Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the value of RSI of Capital Power's share price is approaching 45 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Capital Power, making its price go up or down. Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Capital Power hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Capital Power from the perspective of Capital Power response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Capital Power on the next trading day is expected to be 57.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 76.98. Capital Power after-hype prediction price | CAD 59.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Capital |
Capital Power Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Capital price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Capital using various technical indicators. When you analyze Capital charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Capital Power Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Capital Power on the next trading day is expected to be 57.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26, mean absolute percentage error of 2.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 76.98.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Capital Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Capital Power's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Capital Power Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Capital Power | Capital Power Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Capital Power Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Capital Power's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Capital Power's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 55.54 and 59.57, respectively. We have considered Capital Power's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Capital Power stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Capital Power stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.9723 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.262 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0204 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 76.9833 |
Predictive Modules for Capital Power
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Capital Power After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Capital Power at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Capital Power or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Capital Power, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Capital Power Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Capital Power's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Capital Power's historical news coverage. Capital Power's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 57.84 and 61.86, respectively. We have considered Capital Power's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Capital Power is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Capital Power is based on 3 months time horizon.
Capital Power Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Capital Power is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Capital Power backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Capital Power, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 2.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
59.85 | 59.85 | 0.00 |
|
Capital Power Hype Timeline
Capital Power is currently traded for 59.85on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Capital is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Capital Power is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 59.85. About 23.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.82. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Capital Power has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.9. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Capital Power to cross-verify your projections.Capital Power Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Capital Power's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Capital Power's future price movements. Getting to know how Capital Power's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Capital Power may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALA | AltaGas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.69 | (1.80) | 5.54 | |
| BIP-PE | Brookfield Infrastructure Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.43 | (0.05) | 1.00 | (0.84) | 3.35 | |
| TA | TransAlta Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 3.24 | (5.06) | 14.79 | |
| BEP-UN | Brookfield Renewable Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.35 | (2.36) | 9.24 | |
| EMA | Emera Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.73 | (0.06) | 1.35 | (1.10) | 4.84 | |
| CU | Canadian Utilities Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.37 | 0.14 | 1.45 | (0.98) | 5.01 | |
| BEPC | Brookfield Renewable Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.27 | (2.44) | 7.47 | |
| ACO-X | ATCO | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.63 | 0.11 | 1.47 | (1.09) | 4.78 | |
| BIPC | Brookfield Infrastructure Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.24 | (0.06) | 2.15 | (2.12) | 7.62 | |
| MXG | Maxim Power Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.86 | (2.30) | 7.68 |
Other Forecasting Options for Capital Power
For every potential investor in Capital, whether a beginner or expert, Capital Power's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Capital Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Capital. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Capital Power's price trends.Capital Power Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Capital Power stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Capital Power could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Capital Power by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Capital Power Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Capital Power stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Capital Power shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Capital Power stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Capital Power entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Capital Power Risk Indicators
The analysis of Capital Power's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Capital Power's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting capital stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.01 | |||
| Variance | 4.06 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Capital Power
The number of cover stories for Capital Power depends on current market conditions and Capital Power's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Capital Power is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Capital Power's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Capital Power Short Properties
Capital Power's future price predictability will typically decrease when Capital Power's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Capital Power often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Capital Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capital Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 129.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 865 M |
Other Information on Investing in Capital Stock
Capital Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether Capital Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Capital with respect to the benefits of owning Capital Power security.