Cineplex Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing

CPXGF Stock  USD 7.02  0.05  0.71%   
Cineplex Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Cineplex's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Cineplex's share price is approaching 30 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cineplex, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 30

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cineplex's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Cineplex and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Cineplex's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cineplex, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Cineplex hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cineplex from the perspective of Cineplex response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cineplex on the next trading day is expected to be 6.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.28.

Cineplex after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cineplex to cross-verify your projections.

Cineplex Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cineplex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cineplex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cineplex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Cineplex works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Cineplex Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cineplex on the next trading day is expected to be 6.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cineplex Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cineplex's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cineplex Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cineplex  Cineplex Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Cineplex Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cineplex's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cineplex's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.25 and 8.74, respectively. We have considered Cineplex's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.02
6.99
Expected Value
8.74
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cineplex pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cineplex pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0156
MADMean absolute deviation0.1234
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0152
SAESum of the absolute errors7.2787
When Cineplex prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Cineplex trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Cineplex observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Cineplex

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cineplex. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.001.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.001.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cineplex. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cineplex's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cineplex's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cineplex.

Cineplex After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cineplex at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cineplex or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Cineplex, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Cineplex Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cineplex's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cineplex's historical news coverage. Cineplex's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 1.75, respectively. We have considered Cineplex's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7.02
0.00
After-hype Price
1.75
Upside
Cineplex is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cineplex is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cineplex Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cineplex is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cineplex backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cineplex, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.36 
1.75
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.02
0.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Cineplex Hype Timeline

Cineplex is currently traded for 7.02. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Cineplex is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.36%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cineplex is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.02. About 24.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2020. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cineplex to cross-verify your projections.

Cineplex Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cineplex's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cineplex's future price movements. Getting to know how Cineplex's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cineplex may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TCMFFTelecom Argentina SA 0.00 0 per month 84.43  0.12  16.22 (21.28) 184,953 
BORUFBorussia Dortmund GmbH 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 5.29 (6.02) 20.99 
MDDCFMEDIA DO Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NXFNFNext Fifteen Communications 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
RZSMFRCS MediaGroup SpA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 1.67 (0.99) 26.37 
IMXCFIMAX China Holding 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.30) 0.00 (0.99) 4.72 
HUTCYHutchison Telecommunications Hong 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 0.00  0.00  7.32 
STGYFStingray Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.18  5.43  0.00  25.24 
AFCJFAFC Ajax NV 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
WLDBFWildBrain 0.00 0 per month 4.15  0.01  8.00 (7.22) 39.33 

Other Forecasting Options for Cineplex

For every potential investor in Cineplex, whether a beginner or expert, Cineplex's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cineplex Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cineplex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cineplex's price trends.

Cineplex Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cineplex pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cineplex could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cineplex by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cineplex Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cineplex pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cineplex shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cineplex pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Cineplex entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cineplex Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cineplex's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cineplex's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cineplex pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Cineplex

The number of cover stories for Cineplex depends on current market conditions and Cineplex's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cineplex is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cineplex's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Information on Investing in Cineplex Pink Sheet

Cineplex financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cineplex Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cineplex with respect to the benefits of owning Cineplex security.