Calamos LongShort Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CPZ Stock | USD 14.96 0.04 0.27% |
Calamos Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Calamos LongShort's share price is at 54 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Calamos LongShort, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Calamos LongShort hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Calamos LongShort Equity from the perspective of Calamos LongShort response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Calamos LongShort Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 14.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.60. Calamos LongShort after-hype prediction price | USD 14.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Calamos LongShort to cross-verify your projections. Calamos LongShort Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Calamos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Calamos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Calamos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Calamos LongShort's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 234.9 M | Current Value 246.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 90 M |
Calamos LongShort Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Calamos LongShort Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 14.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.60.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Calamos Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Calamos LongShort's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Calamos LongShort Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Calamos LongShort | Calamos LongShort Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Calamos LongShort Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Calamos LongShort's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Calamos LongShort's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.29 and 15.29, respectively. We have considered Calamos LongShort's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Calamos LongShort stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Calamos LongShort stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.0448 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.059 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.004 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.6019 |
Predictive Modules for Calamos LongShort
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Calamos LongShort Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Calamos LongShort After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Calamos LongShort at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Calamos LongShort or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Calamos LongShort, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Calamos LongShort Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Calamos LongShort's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Calamos LongShort's historical news coverage. Calamos LongShort's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.46 and 15.46, respectively. We have considered Calamos LongShort's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Calamos LongShort is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Calamos LongShort Equity is based on 3 months time horizon.
Calamos LongShort Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Calamos LongShort is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Calamos LongShort backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Calamos LongShort, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 7 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
14.96 | 14.96 | 0.00 |
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Calamos LongShort Hype Timeline
On the 26th of January Calamos LongShort Equity is traded for 14.96. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.04. Calamos is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Calamos LongShort is about 28.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.00. About 50.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.54. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Calamos LongShort Equity last dividend was issued on the 30th of December 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Calamos LongShort to cross-verify your projections.Calamos LongShort Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Calamos LongShort's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Calamos LongShort's future price movements. Getting to know how Calamos LongShort's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Calamos LongShort may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HNVIX | Heartland Value Plus | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.90 | 0.03 | 2.06 | (1.46) | 4.31 | |
| HRVIX | Heartland Value Plus | 0.50 | 1 per month | 0.90 | 0.03 | 2.07 | (1.45) | 4.33 | |
| MEFIX | Martin Currie Emerging | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.56 | 0.08 | 1.44 | (1.16) | 3.72 | |
| MCEMX | Martin Currie Emerging | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.55 | 0.08 | 1.44 | (1.15) | 3.81 | |
| SMAYX | Small Cap Growth | 2.24 | 1 per month | 0.99 | 0.09 | 1.92 | (1.78) | 10.45 | |
| MCEIX | Martin Currie Emerging | 0.04 | 1 per month | 0.56 | 0.08 | 1.44 | (1.10) | 3.77 | |
| BULIX | Utilities Fund Investor | 0.1 | 1 per month | 0.77 | (0.01) | 1.16 | (1.35) | 11.38 | |
| SPVYX | Simt Small Cap | 14.76 | 3 per month | 0.56 | 0.13 | 2.73 | (1.38) | 9.89 | |
| SWYOX | Schwab Target 2065 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.66 | (0.01) | 1.07 | (1.17) | 2.85 | |
| ZTR | Virtus Global Dividend | (0.08) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.95 | (1.07) | 2.36 |
Other Forecasting Options for Calamos LongShort
For every potential investor in Calamos, whether a beginner or expert, Calamos LongShort's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Calamos Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Calamos. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Calamos LongShort's price trends.Calamos LongShort Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Calamos LongShort stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Calamos LongShort could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Calamos LongShort by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Calamos LongShort Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Calamos LongShort stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Calamos LongShort shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Calamos LongShort stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Calamos LongShort Equity entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Calamos LongShort Risk Indicators
The analysis of Calamos LongShort's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Calamos LongShort's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting calamos stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4069 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5286 | |||
| Variance | 0.2794 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Calamos LongShort
The number of cover stories for Calamos LongShort depends on current market conditions and Calamos LongShort's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Calamos LongShort is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Calamos LongShort's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Calamos LongShort Short Properties
Calamos LongShort's future price predictability will typically decrease when Calamos LongShort's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Calamos LongShort Equity often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Calamos LongShort's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Calamos LongShort's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.6 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -36.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 204.2 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 1.68 |
Additional Tools for Calamos Stock Analysis
When running Calamos LongShort's price analysis, check to measure Calamos LongShort's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Calamos LongShort is operating at the current time. Most of Calamos LongShort's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Calamos LongShort's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Calamos LongShort's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Calamos LongShort to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.