Conquest Resources Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CQRLF Stock | USD 0.04 0.01 15.45% |
Conquest Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Conquest Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Conquest Resources' share price is at 55 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Conquest Resources, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Conquest Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Conquest Resources Limited from the perspective of Conquest Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Conquest Resources Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.1. Conquest Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 0.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Conquest |
Conquest Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Conquest price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Conquest using various technical indicators. When you analyze Conquest charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Conquest Resources Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Conquest Resources Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000016, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.1.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Conquest Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Conquest Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Conquest Resources Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Conquest Resources | Conquest Resources Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Conquest Resources Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Conquest Resources' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Conquest Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0004 and 14.46, respectively. We have considered Conquest Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Conquest Resources pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Conquest Resources pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 105.2549 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -4.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0016 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0468 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.095 |
Predictive Modules for Conquest Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Conquest Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Conquest Resources After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Conquest Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Conquest Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Conquest Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Conquest Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Conquest Resources' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Conquest Resources' historical news coverage. Conquest Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 14.34, respectively. We have considered Conquest Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Conquest Resources is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Conquest Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
Conquest Resources Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Conquest Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Conquest Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Conquest Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.89 | 14.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.04 | 0.04 | 3.85 |
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Conquest Resources Hype Timeline
Conquest Resources is currently traded for 0.04. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Conquest is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.04. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -3.85%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.89%. The volatility of related hype on Conquest Resources is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.04. The book value of the company was currently reported as 0.01. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. Conquest Resources last dividend was issued on the 16th of October 2020. The entity had 1:2 split on the 16th of October 2020. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Conquest Resources to cross-verify your projections.Conquest Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Conquest Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Conquest Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Conquest Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Conquest Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PCIMF | Pacific Imperial Mines | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 708.33 | |
| BGFGF | Beauce Gold Fields | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GFKRF | Opus One Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TGLDF | Trillium Gold Mines | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.12 | 0.09 | 14.29 | (14.71) | 200.39 | |
| BTKRF | Black Tusk Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.04 | 0.07 | 15.40 | (11.02) | 52.94 | |
| ARBTF | Argo Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.77 | 0.12 | 22.93 | (10.84) | 47.31 | |
| WGMCF | Winston Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 18.71 | 0.12 | 100.00 | (50.00) | 460.00 | |
| TRGGF | Tarachi Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.11 | 0.10 | 20.83 | (14.29) | 60.89 | |
| AAUGF | Aero Energy Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 49.03 | 0.13 | 62.50 | (35.00) | 856.81 | |
| GPOTF | Gold Port | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.38 |
Other Forecasting Options for Conquest Resources
For every potential investor in Conquest, whether a beginner or expert, Conquest Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Conquest Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Conquest. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Conquest Resources' price trends.Conquest Resources Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Conquest Resources pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Conquest Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Conquest Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Conquest Resources Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Conquest Resources pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Conquest Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Conquest Resources pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Conquest Resources Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Conquest Resources Risk Indicators
The analysis of Conquest Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Conquest Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting conquest pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.31 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 14.08 | |||
| Variance | 198.38 | |||
| Downside Variance | 375.35 | |||
| Semi Variance | 37.68 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (24.81) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Conquest Resources
The number of cover stories for Conquest Resources depends on current market conditions and Conquest Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Conquest Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Conquest Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Conquest Resources Short Properties
Conquest Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when Conquest Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Conquest Resources Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Conquest Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Conquest Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 134.8 M | |
| Shares Float | 121.6 M |
Other Information on Investing in Conquest Pink Sheet
Conquest Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Conquest Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Conquest with respect to the benefits of owning Conquest Resources security.