Construction Partners Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| CQY Stock | EUR 92.00 2.50 2.65% |
Construction Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Construction Partners' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026, the value of RSI of Construction Partners' share price is approaching 48 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Construction Partners, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Construction Partners hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Construction Partners from the perspective of Construction Partners response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Construction Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 92.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 120.89. Construction Partners after-hype prediction price | EUR 92.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Construction |
Construction Partners Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Construction price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Construction using various technical indicators. When you analyze Construction charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Construction Partners Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Construction Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 92.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.01, mean absolute percentage error of 5.85, and the sum of the absolute errors of 120.89.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Construction Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Construction Partners' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Construction Partners Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Construction Partners | Construction Partners Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Construction Partners Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Construction Partners' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Construction Partners' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 89.39 and 94.74, respectively. We have considered Construction Partners' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Construction Partners stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Construction Partners stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3534 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0149 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.022 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 120.8917 |
Predictive Modules for Construction Partners
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Construction Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Construction Partners After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Construction Partners at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Construction Partners or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Construction Partners, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Construction Partners Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Construction Partners' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Construction Partners' historical news coverage. Construction Partners' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 89.34 and 94.66, respectively. We have considered Construction Partners' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Construction Partners is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Construction Partners is based on 3 months time horizon.
Construction Partners Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Construction Partners is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Construction Partners backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Construction Partners, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 2.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
92.00 | 92.00 | 0.00 |
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Construction Partners Hype Timeline
Construction Partners is currently traded for 92.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Construction is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Construction Partners is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 92.00. About 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Construction Partners was currently reported as 8.68. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Construction Partners to cross-verify your projections.Construction Partners Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Construction Partners' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Construction Partners' future price movements. Getting to know how Construction Partners' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Construction Partners may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ESY | Easy Software AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.03 | (4.76) | 17.44 | |
| 22F | Firan Technology Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.54 | 0.16 | 5.65 | (3.79) | 19.35 | |
| 762 | PKSHA TECHNOLOGY INC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 6.25 | (5.93) | 21.49 | |
| CBR | Chiba Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.98 | 0.22 | 3.47 | (1.80) | 9.36 | |
| LT7 | Laurentian Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.57 | 0.11 | 4.14 | (3.17) | 25.71 | |
| EBO | Erste Group Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.77 | 0.23 | 2.96 | (1.79) | 7.30 | |
| TE1 | Bio Techne Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.84 | 0.02 | 3.54 | (3.28) | 12.72 | |
| A2X | AAC TECHNOLOGHLDGADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.46 | (0.02) | 4.00 | (4.00) | 11.68 |
Other Forecasting Options for Construction Partners
For every potential investor in Construction, whether a beginner or expert, Construction Partners' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Construction Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Construction. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Construction Partners' price trends.Construction Partners Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Construction Partners stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Construction Partners could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Construction Partners by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Construction Partners Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Construction Partners stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Construction Partners shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Construction Partners stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Construction Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Construction Partners Risk Indicators
The analysis of Construction Partners' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Construction Partners' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting construction stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.67 | |||
| Variance | 7.1 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Construction Partners
The number of cover stories for Construction Partners depends on current market conditions and Construction Partners' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Construction Partners is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Construction Partners' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Construction Stock
When determining whether Construction Partners is a strong investment it is important to analyze Construction Partners' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Construction Partners' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Construction Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Construction Partners to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Construction Stock please use our How to Invest in Construction Partners guide.You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.