Crédit Agricole Pink Sheet Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

CRARF Stock  USD 12.96  0.82  5.95%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Crdit Agricole SA on the next trading day is expected to be 13.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.68. Crédit Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Crédit Agricole's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Crdit Agricole SA is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Crédit Agricole 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Crdit Agricole SA on the next trading day is expected to be 13.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Crédit Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Crédit Agricole's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Crédit Agricole Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Crédit Agricole Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Crédit Agricole's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Crédit Agricole's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.33 and 15.41, respectively. We have considered Crédit Agricole's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.96
13.37
Expected Value
15.41
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Crédit Agricole pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Crédit Agricole pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.9869
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1099
MADMean absolute deviation0.2925
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.02
SAESum of the absolute errors16.675
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Crédit Agricole. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Crdit Agricole SA and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Crédit Agricole

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crdit Agricole SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.9212.9615.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6913.7315.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.9113.7314.54
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Crédit Agricole

For every potential investor in Crédit, whether a beginner or expert, Crédit Agricole's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Crédit Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Crédit. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Crédit Agricole's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Crdit Agricole SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Crédit Agricole's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Crédit Agricole's current price.

Crédit Agricole Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Crédit Agricole pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Crédit Agricole shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Crédit Agricole pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Crdit Agricole SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Crédit Agricole Risk Indicators

The analysis of Crédit Agricole's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Crédit Agricole's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting crédit pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Crédit Pink Sheet

Crédit Agricole financial ratios help investors to determine whether Crédit Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Crédit with respect to the benefits of owning Crédit Agricole security.