Corebridge Financial Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CRBG Stock  USD 31.86  0.11  0.35%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Corebridge Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 32.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.77. Corebridge Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Corebridge Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current Inventory Turnover is estimated to decrease to -0.14. The current Payables Turnover is estimated to decrease to 0.28. The Corebridge Financial's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 710.1 M. The Corebridge Financial's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 9.8 B.

Corebridge Financial Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Corebridge Financial's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
612 M
Current Value
472.2 M
Quarterly Volatility
40.4 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Corebridge Financial is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Corebridge Financial value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Corebridge Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Corebridge Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 32.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.77.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Corebridge Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Corebridge Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Corebridge Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Corebridge FinancialCorebridge Financial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Corebridge Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Corebridge Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Corebridge Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 30.01 and 34.48, respectively. We have considered Corebridge Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
31.86
32.24
Expected Value
34.48
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Corebridge Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Corebridge Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.6938
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4156
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.014
SAESum of the absolute errors25.7696
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Corebridge Financial. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Corebridge Financial. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Corebridge Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Corebridge Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.2631.4833.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.6327.8535.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
29.9930.9331.87
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
22.6824.9227.66
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Corebridge Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Corebridge Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Corebridge Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Corebridge Financial.

Other Forecasting Options for Corebridge Financial

For every potential investor in Corebridge, whether a beginner or expert, Corebridge Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Corebridge Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Corebridge. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Corebridge Financial's price trends.

Corebridge Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Corebridge Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Corebridge Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Corebridge Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Corebridge Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Corebridge Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Corebridge Financial's current price.

Corebridge Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Corebridge Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Corebridge Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Corebridge Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Corebridge Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Corebridge Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Corebridge Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Corebridge Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting corebridge stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Corebridge Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Corebridge Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Corebridge Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Corebridge Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Corebridge Financial to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Corebridge Stock please use our How to Invest in Corebridge Financial guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Is Diversified Financial Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Corebridge Financial. If investors know Corebridge will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Corebridge Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.50)
Dividend Share
0.92
Earnings Share
(1.91)
Revenue Per Share
26.027
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.45)
The market value of Corebridge Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Corebridge that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Corebridge Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Corebridge Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Corebridge Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Corebridge Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Corebridge Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Corebridge Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Corebridge Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.