Leverage Shares Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CRCG Etf | 2.02 0.08 3.81% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Leverage Shares 2X on the next trading day is expected to be 2.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.04. Leverage Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Leverage Shares' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength momentum indicator of Leverage Shares' share price is below 30 as of 22nd of January 2026 suggesting that the etf is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Leverage Shares 2X, making its price go up or down. Momentum 29
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Leverage Shares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Leverage Shares 2X from the perspective of Leverage Shares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Leverage Shares 2X on the next trading day is expected to be 2.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.04. Leverage Shares after-hype prediction price | USD 2.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Leverage Shares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Leverage price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Leverage using various technical indicators. When you analyze Leverage charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Leverage Shares Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Leverage Shares 2X on the next trading day is expected to be 2.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 0.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.04.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Leverage Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Leverage Shares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Leverage Shares Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Leverage Shares | Leverage Shares Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Leverage Shares Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Leverage Shares' Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Leverage Shares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 12.03, respectively. We have considered Leverage Shares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Leverage Shares etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Leverage Shares etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.6307 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1317 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3007 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0833 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.04 |
Predictive Modules for Leverage Shares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Leverage Shares 2X. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Leverage Shares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Leverage Shares After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Leverage Shares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Leverage Shares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Leverage Shares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Leverage Shares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Leverage Shares' etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Leverage Shares' historical news coverage. Leverage Shares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 12.03, respectively. We have considered Leverage Shares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Leverage Shares is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Leverage Shares 2X is based on 3 months time horizon.
Leverage Shares Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Leverage Shares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Leverage Shares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Leverage Shares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.07 | 10.01 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.02 | 2.02 | 0.00 |
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Leverage Shares Hype Timeline
Leverage Shares 2X is currently traded for 2.02. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.14. Leverage is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -2.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Leverage Shares is about 14720.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.88. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Leverage Shares to cross-verify your projections.Leverage Shares Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Leverage Shares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Leverage Shares' future price movements. Getting to know how Leverage Shares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Leverage Shares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EET | ProShares Ultra MSCI | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | 0.06 | 2.86 | (2.38) | 7.00 | |
| BCIL | Exchange Listed Funds | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.88 | (1.64) | 3.51 | |
| UMDD | ProShares UltraPro MidCap400 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.36 | 0.08 | 5.66 | (4.17) | 11.49 | |
| UYM | ProShares Ultra Basic | 0.01 | 1 per month | 1.62 | 0.13 | 3.73 | (3.08) | 7.79 | |
| RETL | Direxion Daily Retail | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.13 | 0.05 | 5.26 | (5.50) | 18.66 | |
| IRTR | iShares Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.28 | (0.25) | 0.49 | (0.49) | 1.56 | |
| CDEI | Morgan Stanley ETF | (0.69) | 2 per month | 0.68 | (0.05) | 1.20 | (1.19) | 3.63 | |
| OGSP | Spinnaker ETF Series | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.72) | 0.10 | 0.00 | 1.00 | |
| HTAX | Macquarie ETF Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.22 | (0.39) | 0.33 | (0.37) | 0.99 | |
| URAA | Direxion Shares ETF | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.49 | 0.07 | 9.49 | (10.14) | 27.43 |
Other Forecasting Options for Leverage Shares
For every potential investor in Leverage, whether a beginner or expert, Leverage Shares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Leverage Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Leverage. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Leverage Shares' price trends.Leverage Shares Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Leverage Shares etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Leverage Shares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Leverage Shares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Leverage Shares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Leverage Shares etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Leverage Shares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Leverage Shares etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Leverage Shares 2X entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Leverage Shares Risk Indicators
The analysis of Leverage Shares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Leverage Shares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting leverage etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 7.76 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 10.01 | |||
| Variance | 100.25 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Leverage Shares
The number of cover stories for Leverage Shares depends on current market conditions and Leverage Shares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Leverage Shares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Leverage Shares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Leverage Shares to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
The market value of Leverage Shares 2X is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Leverage that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Leverage Shares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Leverage Shares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Leverage Shares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Leverage Shares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Leverage Shares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Leverage Shares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Leverage Shares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.