Creades AB Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

CRED-A Stock  SEK 71.65  1.35  1.92%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Creades AB on the next trading day is expected to be 70.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 135.57. Creades Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Creades AB stock prices and determine the direction of Creades AB's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Creades AB's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Creades AB is based on a synthetically constructed Creades ABdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Creades AB 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Creades AB on the next trading day is expected to be 70.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.31, mean absolute percentage error of 18.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 135.57.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Creades Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Creades AB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Creades AB Stock Forecast Pattern

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Creades AB Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Creades AB's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Creades AB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 68.93 and 72.96, respectively. We have considered Creades AB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
71.65
70.94
Expected Value
72.96
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Creades AB stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Creades AB stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria84.2559
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.5222
MADMean absolute deviation3.3067
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0438
SAESum of the absolute errors135.573
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Creades AB 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Creades AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Creades AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
69.6271.6573.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.8655.8978.82
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Creades AB

For every potential investor in Creades, whether a beginner or expert, Creades AB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Creades Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Creades. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Creades AB's price trends.

Creades AB Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Creades AB stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Creades AB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Creades AB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Creades AB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Creades AB's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Creades AB's current price.

Creades AB Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Creades AB stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Creades AB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Creades AB stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Creades AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Creades AB Risk Indicators

The analysis of Creades AB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Creades AB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting creades stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Other Information on Investing in Creades Stock

Creades AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Creades Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Creades with respect to the benefits of owning Creades AB security.