Comstock Resources Stock Forward View
| CRK Stock | USD 20.42 0.44 2.11% |
Comstock Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Comstock Resources' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Comstock Resources' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Comstock Resources fundamentals over time.
As of now the value of relative strength index of Comstock Resources' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.79) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1361 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.524 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.9776 | Wall Street Target Price 21 |
Using Comstock Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Comstock Resources from the perspective of Comstock Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Comstock Resources using Comstock Resources' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Comstock using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Comstock Resources' stock price.
Comstock Resources Short Interest
An investor who is long Comstock Resources may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Comstock Resources and may potentially protect profits, hedge Comstock Resources with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 21.428 | Short Percent 0.236 | Short Ratio 8.27 | Shares Short Prior Month 22.5 M | 50 Day MA 23.106 |
Comstock Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Comstock Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 19.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.42.Comstock Resources Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Comstock Resources' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Comstock. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Comstock can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Comstock Resources. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Comstock Resources' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Comstock Resources.
Comstock Resources Implied Volatility | 0.76 |
Comstock Resources' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Comstock Resources stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Comstock Resources' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Comstock Resources stock will not fluctuate a lot when Comstock Resources' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Comstock Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 19.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.42. Comstock Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 19.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Comstock Resources to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Comstock contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Comstock Resources will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0475% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Comstock Resources trading at USD 20.42, that is roughly USD 0.0097 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Comstock Resources' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Comstock Resources options at the current volatility level of 0.76%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Comstock Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Comstock Resources' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Comstock Resources' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Comstock Resources stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Comstock Resources' open interest, investors have to compare it to Comstock Resources' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Comstock Resources is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Comstock. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Comstock Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Comstock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Comstock using various technical indicators. When you analyze Comstock charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Comstock Resources Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Comstock Resources' financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 1988-12-31 | Previous Quarter 25.9 M | Current Value 19.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 45.2 M |
Comstock Resources Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 13th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Comstock Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 19.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97, mean absolute percentage error of 1.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.42.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Comstock Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Comstock Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Comstock Resources Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Comstock Resources | Comstock Resources Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Comstock Resources Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Comstock Resources' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Comstock Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.24 and 22.92, respectively. We have considered Comstock Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Comstock Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Comstock Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.243 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9746 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0418 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 60.4238 |
Predictive Modules for Comstock Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Comstock Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Comstock Resources After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Comstock Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Comstock Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Comstock Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Comstock Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Comstock Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Comstock Resources' historical news coverage. Comstock Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.12 and 23.74, respectively. We have considered Comstock Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Comstock Resources is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Comstock Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
Comstock Resources Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Comstock Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Comstock Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Comstock Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 3.84 | 0.52 | 0.10 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.42 | 19.93 | 2.35 |
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Comstock Resources Hype Timeline
On the 12th of February 2026 Comstock Resources is traded for 20.42. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.52, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Comstock is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 19.93. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -2.35%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Comstock Resources is about 1084.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.52. About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Comstock Resources was currently reported as 8.05. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of November 2023. Comstock Resources had 1:5 split on the 1st of August 2016. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Comstock Resources to cross-verify your projections.Comstock Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Comstock Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Comstock Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Comstock Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Comstock Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CHRD | Chord Energy Corp | (0.22) | 9 per month | 1.92 | 0.11 | 3.83 | (3.61) | 10.10 | |
| MTDR | Matador Resources | (0.13) | 11 per month | 1.97 | 0.14 | 3.73 | (3.47) | 9.76 | |
| VIST | Vista Oil Gas | 0.40 | 8 per month | 2.68 | 0.06 | 4.21 | (4.38) | 13.64 | |
| CNX | CNX Resources Corp | (0.72) | 10 per month | 1.80 | 0.07 | 3.44 | (3.34) | 8.32 | |
| FRO | Frontline | (0.39) | 10 per month | 2.04 | 0.12 | 3.77 | (3.88) | 13.55 | |
| NOV | NOV Inc | 0.17 | 11 per month | 2.06 | 0.12 | 4.85 | (4.47) | 12.40 | |
| SOBO | South Bow | (0.69) | 10 per month | 1.20 | 0.09 | 2.27 | (2.41) | 8.35 | |
| WFRD | Weatherford International plc | 3.32 | 8 per month | 1.75 | 0.19 | 4.77 | (3.39) | 13.20 | |
| MGY | Magnolia Oil Gas | 0.32 | 10 per month | 1.35 | 0.16 | 2.99 | (2.91) | 7.72 | |
| CRC | California Resources Corp | 1.48 | 9 per month | 1.65 | 0.12 | 3.61 | (3.17) | 8.47 |
Other Forecasting Options for Comstock Resources
For every potential investor in Comstock, whether a beginner or expert, Comstock Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Comstock Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Comstock. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Comstock Resources' price trends.Comstock Resources Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Comstock Resources stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Comstock Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Comstock Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Comstock Resources Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Comstock Resources stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Comstock Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Comstock Resources stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Comstock Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 79295.27 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.66) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.57 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.52 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.36) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.44) |
Comstock Resources Risk Indicators
The analysis of Comstock Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Comstock Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting comstock stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.99 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.83 | |||
| Variance | 14.67 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Comstock Resources
The number of cover stories for Comstock Resources depends on current market conditions and Comstock Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Comstock Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Comstock Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Comstock Resources Short Properties
Comstock Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when Comstock Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Comstock Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Comstock Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Comstock Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 287 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Comstock Resources to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Comstock Stock please use our How to buy in Comstock Stock guide.You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Comstock Resources. Projected growth potential of Comstock fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Comstock Resources assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.79) | Earnings Share 0.22 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.477 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Comstock Resources requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Comstock's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Comstock Resources' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Comstock Resources' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Comstock Resources' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Comstock Resources should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Comstock Resources' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.