CorMedix Stock Forward View

CRMD Stock  USD 7.69  0.34  4.63%   
CorMedix Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CorMedix stock prices and determine the direction of CorMedix's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of CorMedix's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of CorMedix's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CorMedix's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CorMedix and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CorMedix's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CorMedix, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting CorMedix's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.82
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.36
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.2667
Wall Street Target Price
14.8571
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.6343
Using CorMedix hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CorMedix from the perspective of CorMedix response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CorMedix using CorMedix's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CorMedix using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CorMedix's stock price.

CorMedix Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in CorMedix's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards CorMedix. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of CorMedix stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
11.3321
Short Percent
0.2293
Short Ratio
4.55
Shares Short Prior Month
16.7 M
50 Day MA
9.7578

CorMedix Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CorMedix on the next trading day is expected to be 8.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.73.

CorMedix Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to CorMedix's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CorMedix. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CorMedix can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CorMedix. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CorMedix's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CorMedix.

CorMedix Implied Volatility

    
  1.29  
CorMedix's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CorMedix stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CorMedix's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CorMedix stock will not fluctuate a lot when CorMedix's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CorMedix on the next trading day is expected to be 8.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.73.

CorMedix after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 7.9  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CorMedix to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade CorMedix Stock refer to our How to Trade CorMedix Stock guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CorMedix contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CorMedix will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0806% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With CorMedix trading at USD 7.69, that is roughly USD 0.0062 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CorMedix's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CorMedix options at the current volatility level of 1.29%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 CorMedix Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast CorMedix's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in CorMedix's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for CorMedix stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current CorMedix's open interest, investors have to compare it to CorMedix's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of CorMedix is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in CorMedix. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

CorMedix Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CorMedix price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CorMedix using various technical indicators. When you analyze CorMedix charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

CorMedix Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the CorMedix's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2008-12-31
Previous Quarter
159.3 M
Current Value
48.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
26.5 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for CorMedix is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of CorMedix value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

CorMedix Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CorMedix on the next trading day is expected to be 8.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67, mean absolute percentage error of 0.70, and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.73.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CorMedix Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CorMedix's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CorMedix Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest CorMedix  CorMedix Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

CorMedix Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CorMedix's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CorMedix's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.42 and 14.30, respectively. We have considered CorMedix's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.69
8.86
Expected Value
14.30
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CorMedix stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CorMedix stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.7589
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6677
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.073
SAESum of the absolute errors40.7298
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of CorMedix. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict CorMedix. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for CorMedix

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CorMedix. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.467.9013.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.969.4014.84
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.5214.8616.49
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.360.590.90
Details

CorMedix After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CorMedix at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CorMedix or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CorMedix, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CorMedix Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CorMedix's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CorMedix's historical news coverage. CorMedix's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.46 and 13.34, respectively. We have considered CorMedix's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7.69
7.90
After-hype Price
13.34
Upside
CorMedix is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CorMedix is based on 3 months time horizon.

CorMedix Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CorMedix is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CorMedix backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CorMedix, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.42 
5.44
  0.21 
  0.37 
13 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 13 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.69
7.90
2.73 
1,110  
Notes

CorMedix Hype Timeline

CorMedix is currently traded for 7.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.37. CorMedix is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 7.9 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 2.73%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.42%. The volatility of related hype on CorMedix is about 619.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.32. CorMedix currently holds 517.01 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 13 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CorMedix to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade CorMedix Stock refer to our How to Trade CorMedix Stock guide.

CorMedix Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CorMedix's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CorMedix's future price movements. Getting to know how CorMedix's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CorMedix may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EYPTEyepoint Pharmaceuticals(0.57)10 per month 3.80  0.02  6.24 (4.98) 23.49 
BCAXBicara Therapeutics Common(0.47)7 per month 3.44 (0.02) 6.05 (6.63) 19.25 
KURAKura Oncology(0.71)9 per month 0.00 (0.09) 5.01 (5.77) 22.83 
PROKProKidney Corp(0.08)8 per month 0.00 (0.12) 6.82 (8.95) 22.38 
SVRASavara Inc 0.49 8 per month 3.15  0.08  8.25 (5.30) 24.50 
ABUSArbutus Biopharma Corp(0.34)10 per month 0.00 (0.08) 5.33 (5.79) 20.16 
PVLAPalvella Therapeutics(5.89)7 per month 4.81  0.03  8.80 (8.04) 28.65 
SEPNSepterna Common Stock 0.16 21 per month 2.99  0.08  7.41 (5.00) 27.98 
TNGXTango Therapeutics(0.87)9 per month 3.42  0.13  11.29 (6.19) 31.20 
NBTXNanobiotix(0.50)35 per month 3.17  0.06  6.58 (5.64) 18.61 

Other Forecasting Options for CorMedix

For every potential investor in CorMedix, whether a beginner or expert, CorMedix's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CorMedix Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CorMedix. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CorMedix's price trends.

CorMedix Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CorMedix stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CorMedix could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CorMedix by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CorMedix Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CorMedix stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CorMedix shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CorMedix stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CorMedix entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CorMedix Risk Indicators

The analysis of CorMedix's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CorMedix's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cormedix stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for CorMedix

The number of cover stories for CorMedix depends on current market conditions and CorMedix's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CorMedix is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CorMedix's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

CorMedix Short Properties

CorMedix's future price predictability will typically decrease when CorMedix's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CorMedix often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CorMedix's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CorMedix's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding58.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments51.7 M
When determining whether CorMedix is a strong investment it is important to analyze CorMedix's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact CorMedix's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding CorMedix Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CorMedix to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade CorMedix Stock refer to our How to Trade CorMedix Stock guide.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Will Pharmaceuticals sector continue expanding? Could CorMedix diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CorMedix. Projected growth potential of CorMedix fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every CorMedix data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share
2.21
Revenue Per Share
3.166
Quarterly Revenue Growth
8.102
Return On Assets
0.1569
Return On Equity
0.7508
CorMedix's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on CorMedix's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate CorMedix's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since CorMedix's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between CorMedix's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding CorMedix should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, CorMedix's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.