Corsa Coal OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

CRSXF Stock  USD 0.15  0.01  6.25%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Corsa Coal Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.44. Corsa OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Corsa Coal's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Corsa Coal simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Corsa Coal Corp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Corsa Coal Corp prices get older.

Corsa Coal Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Corsa Coal Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.44.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Corsa OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Corsa Coal's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Corsa Coal OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Corsa Coal Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Corsa Coal's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Corsa Coal's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 7.04, respectively. We have considered Corsa Coal's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.15
0.15
Expected Value
7.04
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Corsa Coal otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Corsa Coal otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.2068
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0073
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0446
SAESum of the absolute errors0.4405
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Corsa Coal Corp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Corsa Coal observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Corsa Coal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Corsa Coal Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Corsa Coal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.157.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.137.02
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Corsa Coal

For every potential investor in Corsa, whether a beginner or expert, Corsa Coal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Corsa OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Corsa. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Corsa Coal's price trends.

Corsa Coal Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Corsa Coal otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Corsa Coal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Corsa Coal by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Corsa Coal Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Corsa Coal's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Corsa Coal's current price.

Corsa Coal Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Corsa Coal otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Corsa Coal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Corsa Coal otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Corsa Coal Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Corsa Coal Risk Indicators

The analysis of Corsa Coal's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Corsa Coal's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting corsa otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Corsa OTC Stock

Corsa Coal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Corsa OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Corsa with respect to the benefits of owning Corsa Coal security.