Xtrackers National Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression
| CRTC Etf | USD 37.46 0.22 0.59% |
Xtrackers Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Xtrackers National stock prices and determine the direction of Xtrackers National Critical's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Xtrackers National's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Xtrackers National's share price is at 53 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Xtrackers National, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Xtrackers National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xtrackers National Critical from the perspective of Xtrackers National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Xtrackers National using Xtrackers National's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Xtrackers using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Xtrackers National's stock price.
Xtrackers National Implied Volatility | 0.28 |
Xtrackers National's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Xtrackers National Critical stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Xtrackers National's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Xtrackers National stock will not fluctuate a lot when Xtrackers National's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Xtrackers National Critical on the next trading day is expected to be 37.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.29. Xtrackers National after-hype prediction price | USD 37.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Xtrackers |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Xtrackers contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Xtrackers National Critical will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0175% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Xtrackers National trading at USD 37.46, that is roughly USD 0.006556 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Xtrackers National's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Xtrackers National Critical options at the current volatility level of 0.28%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Xtrackers Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Xtrackers National's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Xtrackers National's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Xtrackers National stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Xtrackers National's open interest, investors have to compare it to Xtrackers National's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Xtrackers National is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Xtrackers. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Xtrackers National Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Xtrackers price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xtrackers using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xtrackers charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Xtrackers National Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Xtrackers National Critical on the next trading day is expected to be 37.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.29.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Xtrackers Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Xtrackers National's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Xtrackers National Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Xtrackers National | Xtrackers National Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Xtrackers National Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Xtrackers National's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Xtrackers National's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36.37 and 38.04, respectively. We have considered Xtrackers National's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Xtrackers National pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Xtrackers National pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.8472 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4147 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0113 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.294 |
Predictive Modules for Xtrackers National
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xtrackers National. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Xtrackers National's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Xtrackers National After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Xtrackers National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xtrackers National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Xtrackers National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Xtrackers National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Xtrackers National's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xtrackers National's historical news coverage. Xtrackers National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.62 and 38.30, respectively. We have considered Xtrackers National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Xtrackers National is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xtrackers National is based on 3 months time horizon.
Xtrackers National Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Xtrackers National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xtrackers National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xtrackers National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
37.46 | 37.46 | 0.00 |
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Xtrackers National Hype Timeline
Xtrackers National is currently traded for 37.46. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Xtrackers is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Xtrackers National is about 903.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.46. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Xtrackers National to cross-verify your projections.Xtrackers National Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Xtrackers National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xtrackers National's future price movements. Getting to know how Xtrackers National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xtrackers National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VEGN | US Vegan Climate | 0.72 | 1 per month | 0.99 | (0.04) | 1.48 | (1.86) | 4.04 | |
| DEW | WisdomTree Global High | (0.17) | 7 per month | 0.34 | 0.05 | 1.05 | (0.79) | 2.47 | |
| IZRL | ARK Israel Innovative | 0.05 | 4 per month | 1.02 | 0.08 | 1.69 | (1.54) | 4.99 | |
| ISEP | Innovator ETFs Trust | 0.20 | 3 per month | 0.30 | (0.06) | 0.62 | (0.63) | 1.77 | |
| IVVM | BlackRock ETF Trust | 0.15 | 4 per month | 0.41 | (0.09) | 0.61 | (0.81) | 2.34 | |
| FLEE | Franklin FTSE Europe | 0.28 | 4 per month | 0.60 | 0.06 | 1.35 | (1.22) | 3.65 | |
| QYLG | Global X Nasdaq | (0.08) | 15 per month | 0.67 | (0.03) | 1.09 | (1.29) | 3.60 | |
| DECT | AIM ETF Products | (0.10) | 1 per month | 0.54 | (0.05) | 0.92 | (0.84) | 3.06 | |
| IVVB | Blackrock ETF Trust | (0.12) | 2 per month | 0.55 | (0.07) | 0.73 | (0.97) | 2.71 | |
| DWUS | AdvisorShares Dorsey Wright | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.13 | (0.06) | 1.58 | (2.17) | 4.55 |
Other Forecasting Options for Xtrackers National
For every potential investor in Xtrackers, whether a beginner or expert, Xtrackers National's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Xtrackers Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Xtrackers. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Xtrackers National's price trends.Xtrackers National Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Xtrackers National pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Xtrackers National could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Xtrackers National by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Xtrackers National Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Xtrackers National pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Xtrackers National shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Xtrackers National pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Xtrackers National Critical entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Xtrackers National Risk Indicators
The analysis of Xtrackers National's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Xtrackers National's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xtrackers pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6304 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8637 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8302 | |||
| Variance | 0.6893 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.942 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.746 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.60) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Xtrackers National
The number of cover stories for Xtrackers National depends on current market conditions and Xtrackers National's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xtrackers National is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xtrackers National's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Xtrackers Pink Sheet
Xtrackers National financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xtrackers Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xtrackers with respect to the benefits of owning Xtrackers National security.