CorVel Corp Stock Forward View
| CRVL Stock | USD 48.67 0.06 0.12% |
CorVel Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although CorVel Corp's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of CorVel Corp's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of CorVel Corp fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of CorVel Corp's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.022 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.034 |
Using CorVel Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CorVel Corp from the perspective of CorVel Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CorVel Corp using CorVel Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CorVel using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CorVel Corp's stock price.
CorVel Corp Short Interest
An investor who is long CorVel Corp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about CorVel Corp and may potentially protect profits, hedge CorVel Corp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 85.9732 | Short Percent 0.0288 | Short Ratio 3.77 | Shares Short Prior Month 637.5 K | 50 Day MA 68.5954 |
CorVel Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CorVel Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 37.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 100.96.CorVel Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CorVel Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CorVel. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CorVel can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CorVel Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CorVel Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CorVel Corp.
CorVel Corp Implied Volatility | 1.34 |
CorVel Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CorVel Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CorVel Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CorVel Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when CorVel Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CorVel Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 37.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 100.96. CorVel Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 48.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CorVel Corp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CorVel contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CorVel Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0838% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With CorVel Corp trading at USD 48.67, that is roughly USD 0.0408 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CorVel Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CorVel Corp options at the current volatility level of 1.34%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 CorVel Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast CorVel Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in CorVel Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for CorVel Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current CorVel Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to CorVel Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of CorVel Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in CorVel. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
CorVel Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CorVel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CorVel using various technical indicators. When you analyze CorVel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CorVel Corp Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the CorVel Corp's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 1991-03-31 | Previous Quarter 207.5 M | Current Value 230 M | Quarterly Volatility 47.5 M |
CorVel Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CorVel Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 37.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.63, mean absolute percentage error of 5.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 100.96.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CorVel Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CorVel Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CorVel Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CorVel Corp | CorVel Corp Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
CorVel Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CorVel Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CorVel Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.17 and 41.74, respectively. We have considered CorVel Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CorVel Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CorVel Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.7059 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.6283 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0255 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 100.9571 |
Predictive Modules for CorVel Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CorVel Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CorVel Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CorVel Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CorVel Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CorVel Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CorVel Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CorVel Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CorVel Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CorVel Corp's historical news coverage. CorVel Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 44.75 and 52.33, respectively. We have considered CorVel Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CorVel Corp is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CorVel Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
CorVel Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CorVel Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CorVel Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CorVel Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.64 | 3.79 | 0.13 | 0.21 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
48.67 | 48.54 | 0.27 |
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CorVel Corp Hype Timeline
CorVel Corp is currently traded for 48.67. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.21. CorVel is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 48.54. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.27%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.64%. The volatility of related hype on CorVel Corp is about 1148.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 48.88. About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. CorVel Corp had 3:1 split on the 26th of December 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CorVel Corp to cross-verify your projections.CorVel Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CorVel Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CorVel Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how CorVel Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CorVel Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ECAT | BlackRock ESG Capital | 2.20 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.45 | (1.37) | 4.08 | |
| BST | BlackRock Science Tech | 0.53 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.17 | (2.08) | 5.02 | |
| BTT | Blackrock Municipal Target | (0.03) | 7 per month | 0.33 | (0.18) | 0.62 | (0.71) | 1.65 | |
| USAWX | World Growth Fund | (0.29) | 1 per month | 0.38 | 0.12 | 1.27 | (1.22) | 12.40 | |
| BDJ | Blackrock Enhanced Equity | (0.02) | 3 per month | 0.36 | 0.08 | 1.39 | (0.92) | 2.96 | |
| SWYEX | Schwab Target 2030 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.41 | (0.15) | 0.69 | (0.69) | 1.93 | |
| FGTRX | Franklin Growth Allocation | (0.08) | 1 per month | 0.59 | (0.06) | 0.94 | (1.04) | 2.81 |
Other Forecasting Options for CorVel Corp
For every potential investor in CorVel, whether a beginner or expert, CorVel Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CorVel Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CorVel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CorVel Corp's price trends.CorVel Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CorVel Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CorVel Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CorVel Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CorVel Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CorVel Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CorVel Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CorVel Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CorVel Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 16767.43 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.03) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 48.79 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 48.75 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.15) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.06) |
CorVel Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of CorVel Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CorVel Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting corvel stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.69 | |||
| Variance | 13.62 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CorVel Corp
The number of cover stories for CorVel Corp depends on current market conditions and CorVel Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CorVel Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CorVel Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CorVel Corp Short Properties
CorVel Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when CorVel Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CorVel Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CorVel Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CorVel Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 170.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CorVel Corp to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy CorVel Stock please use our How to buy in CorVel Stock guide.You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CorVel Corp. Projected growth potential of CorVel fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive CorVel Corp assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.022 | Earnings Share 2.01 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.034 | Return On Assets |
Understanding CorVel Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects CorVel's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what CorVel Corp's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push CorVel Corp's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between CorVel Corp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding CorVel Corp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, CorVel Corp's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.