Crown Crafts Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CRWS Stock | USD 2.91 0.00 0.00% |
Crown Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Crown Crafts' share price is at 57 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Crown Crafts, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | Wall Street Target Price 7.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
Using Crown Crafts hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Crown Crafts from the perspective of Crown Crafts response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Crown Crafts using Crown Crafts' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Crown using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Crown Crafts' stock price.
Crown Crafts Implied Volatility | 1.04 |
Crown Crafts' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Crown Crafts stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Crown Crafts' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Crown Crafts stock will not fluctuate a lot when Crown Crafts' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Crown Crafts on the next trading day is expected to be 2.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.89. Crown Crafts after-hype prediction price | USD 2.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Crown Crafts to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Crown Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Crown Crafts' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Crown Crafts' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Crown Crafts stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Crown Crafts' open interest, investors have to compare it to Crown Crafts' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Crown Crafts is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Crown. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Crown Crafts Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Crown price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Crown using various technical indicators. When you analyze Crown charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Crown Crafts Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Crown Crafts on the next trading day is expected to be 2.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.89.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Crown Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Crown Crafts' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Crown Crafts Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Crown Crafts | Crown Crafts Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Crown Crafts Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Crown Crafts' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Crown Crafts' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.27 and 4.54, respectively. We have considered Crown Crafts' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Crown Crafts stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Crown Crafts stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.0431 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0012 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0314 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0116 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.885 |
Predictive Modules for Crown Crafts
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crown Crafts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crown Crafts' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Crown Crafts After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Crown Crafts at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Crown Crafts or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Crown Crafts, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Crown Crafts Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Crown Crafts' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Crown Crafts' historical news coverage. Crown Crafts' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.29 and 4.57, respectively. We have considered Crown Crafts' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Crown Crafts is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Crown Crafts is based on 3 months time horizon.
Crown Crafts Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Crown Crafts is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Crown Crafts backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Crown Crafts, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.91 | 2.93 | 0.00 |
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Crown Crafts Hype Timeline
Crown Crafts is currently traded for 2.91. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Crown is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Crown Crafts is about 8746.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.91. About 31.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.82. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Crown Crafts has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.19. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.97. The firm last dividend was issued on the 12th of December 2025. Crown Crafts had 2:1 split on the 12th of January 1990. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Crown Crafts to cross-verify your projections.Crown Crafts Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Crown Crafts' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Crown Crafts' future price movements. Getting to know how Crown Crafts' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Crown Crafts may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NTZ | Natuzzi SpA | 0.15 | 10 per month | 4.29 | 0 | 10.37 | (7.04) | 25.04 | |
| MKDW | MKDWELL Tech Ordinary | 0.01 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 10.00 | (5.88) | 2,863 | |
| NDLS | Noodles Company | 0.04 | 11 per month | 5.03 | 0.05 | 13.64 | (8.75) | 44.79 | |
| FAT | FAT Brands | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 11.11 | (14.52) | 44.83 | |
| LESL | Leslies | (0.20) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 9.20 | (9.63) | 42.31 | |
| REE | Ree Automotive Holding | (0.03) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 8.00 | (8.97) | 25.96 | |
| TBHC | The Brand House | (0.02) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.79 | (6.52) | 15.74 | |
| FORD | Forward Industries | (0.09) | 17 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 14.99 | (12.08) | 84.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Crown Crafts
For every potential investor in Crown, whether a beginner or expert, Crown Crafts' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Crown Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Crown. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Crown Crafts' price trends.Crown Crafts Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Crown Crafts stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Crown Crafts could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Crown Crafts by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Crown Crafts Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Crown Crafts stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Crown Crafts shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Crown Crafts stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Crown Crafts entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.017 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.92 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.91 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.05 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 57.11 |
Crown Crafts Risk Indicators
The analysis of Crown Crafts' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Crown Crafts' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting crown stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Variance | 2.51 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.07 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.04 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Crown Crafts
The number of cover stories for Crown Crafts depends on current market conditions and Crown Crafts' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Crown Crafts is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Crown Crafts' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Crown Crafts Short Properties
Crown Crafts' future price predictability will typically decrease when Crown Crafts' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Crown Crafts often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Crown Crafts' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crown Crafts' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 521 K |
Additional Tools for Crown Stock Analysis
When running Crown Crafts' price analysis, check to measure Crown Crafts' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crown Crafts is operating at the current time. Most of Crown Crafts' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crown Crafts' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crown Crafts' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crown Crafts to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.