Accenture Plc Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

CSA Stock  EUR 188.68  0.60  0.32%   
Accenture Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Accenture Plc's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 18th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Accenture Plc's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Accenture Plc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Accenture Plc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Accenture Plc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Accenture plc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Accenture Plc's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.02)
Wall Street Target Price
304.15
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.06
Using Accenture Plc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Accenture plc from the perspective of Accenture Plc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Accenture plc on the next trading day is expected to be 186.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 256.51.

Accenture Plc after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 189.54  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Accenture Plc to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Accenture Stock please use our How to Invest in Accenture Plc guide.

Accenture Plc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Accenture price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Accenture using various technical indicators. When you analyze Accenture charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Accenture Plc - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Accenture Plc prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Accenture Plc price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Accenture plc.

Accenture Plc Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 19th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Accenture plc on the next trading day is expected to be 186.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.35, mean absolute percentage error of 33.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 256.51.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Accenture Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Accenture Plc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Accenture Plc Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Accenture Plc  Accenture Plc Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Accenture Plc Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Accenture Plc's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Accenture Plc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 183.52 and 188.74, respectively. We have considered Accenture Plc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
188.68
183.52
Downside
186.13
Expected Value
188.74
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Accenture Plc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Accenture Plc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.0644
MADMean absolute deviation4.3476
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.02
SAESum of the absolute errors256.5091
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Accenture Plc observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Accenture plc observations.

Predictive Modules for Accenture Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Accenture plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
186.93189.54192.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
150.22152.83207.55
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Accenture Plc After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Accenture Plc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Accenture Plc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Accenture Plc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Accenture Plc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Accenture Plc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Accenture Plc's historical news coverage. Accenture Plc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 186.93 and 192.15, respectively. We have considered Accenture Plc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
188.68
186.93
Downside
189.54
After-hype Price
192.15
Upside
Accenture Plc is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Accenture plc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Accenture Plc Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Accenture Plc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Accenture Plc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Accenture Plc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
2.61
  0.86 
  0.03 
8 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
188.68
189.54
0.46 
39.25  
Notes

Accenture Plc Hype Timeline

Accenture plc is currently traded for 188.68on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.86, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Accenture is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 189.54 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 39.25%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.46%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Accenture Plc is about 1056.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 188.71. The company reported the revenue of 69.67 B. Net Income was 7.68 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.61 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Accenture Plc to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Accenture Stock please use our How to Invest in Accenture Plc guide.

Accenture Plc Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Accenture Plc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Accenture Plc's future price movements. Getting to know how Accenture Plc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Accenture Plc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Accenture Plc

For every potential investor in Accenture, whether a beginner or expert, Accenture Plc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Accenture Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Accenture. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Accenture Plc's price trends.

Accenture Plc Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Accenture Plc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Accenture Plc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Accenture Plc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Accenture Plc Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Accenture Plc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Accenture Plc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Accenture Plc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Accenture plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Accenture Plc Risk Indicators

The analysis of Accenture Plc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Accenture Plc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting accenture stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Accenture Plc

The number of cover stories for Accenture Plc depends on current market conditions and Accenture Plc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Accenture Plc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Accenture Plc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
When determining whether Accenture plc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Accenture Plc's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Accenture Plc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Accenture Plc Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Accenture Plc to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Accenture Stock please use our How to Invest in Accenture Plc guide.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
It's important to distinguish between Accenture Plc's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Accenture Plc should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Accenture Plc's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.