VictoryShares Discovery Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CSF Etf | USD 59.29 0.95 1.63% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of VictoryShares Discovery Enhanced on the next trading day is expected to be 59.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.03. VictoryShares Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of VictoryShares Discovery's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
VictoryShares |
VictoryShares Discovery Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of VictoryShares Discovery Enhanced on the next trading day is expected to be 59.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50, mean absolute percentage error of 0.53, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.03.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VictoryShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VictoryShares Discovery's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
VictoryShares Discovery Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest VictoryShares Discovery | VictoryShares Discovery Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
VictoryShares Discovery Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting VictoryShares Discovery's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VictoryShares Discovery's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 58.00 and 60.58, respectively. We have considered VictoryShares Discovery's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VictoryShares Discovery etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VictoryShares Discovery etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.6377 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0845 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5005 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0091 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 30.03 |
Predictive Modules for VictoryShares Discovery
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VictoryShares Discovery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VictoryShares Discovery's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for VictoryShares Discovery
For every potential investor in VictoryShares, whether a beginner or expert, VictoryShares Discovery's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VictoryShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VictoryShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VictoryShares Discovery's price trends.VictoryShares Discovery Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VictoryShares Discovery etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VictoryShares Discovery could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VictoryShares Discovery by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
VictoryShares Discovery Technical and Predictive Analytics
The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of VictoryShares Discovery's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of VictoryShares Discovery's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
VictoryShares Discovery Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VictoryShares Discovery etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VictoryShares Discovery shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VictoryShares Discovery etf market strength indicators, traders can identify VictoryShares Discovery Enhanced entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
VictoryShares Discovery Risk Indicators
The analysis of VictoryShares Discovery's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VictoryShares Discovery's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting victoryshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9285 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7095 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Variance | 1.73 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8537 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5034 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether VictoryShares Discovery is a strong investment it is important to analyze VictoryShares Discovery's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact VictoryShares Discovery's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding VictoryShares Etf, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VictoryShares Discovery to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
The market value of VictoryShares Discovery is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VictoryShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VictoryShares Discovery's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VictoryShares Discovery's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VictoryShares Discovery's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VictoryShares Discovery's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VictoryShares Discovery's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VictoryShares Discovery is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VictoryShares Discovery's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.