Chartwell Retirement Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| CSH-UN Stock | CAD 20.88 0.29 1.37% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Chartwell Retirement Residences on the next trading day is expected to be 20.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.60. Chartwell Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Chartwell Retirement stock prices and determine the direction of Chartwell Retirement Residences's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Chartwell Retirement's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Chartwell Retirement's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.87) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.11 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.3 | Wall Street Target Price 23.05 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.264 |
Using Chartwell Retirement hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chartwell Retirement Residences from the perspective of Chartwell Retirement response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Chartwell Retirement Residences on the next trading day is expected to be 20.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.60. Chartwell Retirement after-hype prediction price | CAD 20.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Chartwell |
Chartwell Retirement Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Chartwell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chartwell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chartwell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Chartwell Retirement Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Chartwell Retirement Residences on the next trading day is expected to be 20.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.60.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Chartwell Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Chartwell Retirement's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Chartwell Retirement Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Chartwell Retirement | Chartwell Retirement Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Chartwell Retirement Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Chartwell Retirement's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Chartwell Retirement's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.42 and 22.09, respectively. We have considered Chartwell Retirement's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Chartwell Retirement stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Chartwell Retirement stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.1817 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3377 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0166 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.5967 |
Predictive Modules for Chartwell Retirement
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chartwell Retirement. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chartwell Retirement's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Chartwell Retirement After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Chartwell Retirement at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chartwell Retirement or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chartwell Retirement, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Chartwell Retirement Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Chartwell Retirement's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chartwell Retirement's historical news coverage. Chartwell Retirement's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.52 and 22.20, respectively. We have considered Chartwell Retirement's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Chartwell Retirement is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chartwell Retirement is based on 3 months time horizon.
Chartwell Retirement Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chartwell Retirement is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chartwell Retirement backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chartwell Retirement, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.34 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.88 | 20.86 | 0.10 |
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Chartwell Retirement Hype Timeline
Chartwell Retirement is currently traded for 20.88on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Chartwell is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 20.86. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Chartwell Retirement is about 1522.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.88. About 38.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Chartwell Retirement was currently reported as 4.91. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2026. Chartwell Retirement had 1.03:1 split on the 27th of May 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chartwell Retirement to cross-verify your projections.Chartwell Retirement Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Chartwell Retirement's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chartwell Retirement's future price movements. Getting to know how Chartwell Retirement's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chartwell Retirement may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CAR-UN | Canadian Apartment Properties | (0.67) | 6 per month | 1.09 | (0.03) | 2.49 | (1.65) | 5.13 | |
| REI-UN | RioCan Real Estate | (0.18) | 9 per month | 0.90 | 0.03 | 1.65 | (1.81) | 4.13 | |
| GRT-UN | Granite Real Estate | (0.21) | 8 per month | 1.18 | 0.1 | 2.06 | (1.66) | 7.09 | |
| CHP-UN | Choice Properties Real | (0.02) | 4 per month | 0.61 | 0.01 | 1.24 | (1.09) | 4.18 | |
| FCR-UN | First Capital Real | (0.13) | 5 per month | 0.83 | 0.01 | 1.61 | (1.22) | 5.52 | |
| SRU-UN | SmartCentres Real Estate | 0.18 | 8 per month | 0.72 | (0.03) | 1.24 | (1.12) | 3.69 | |
| CRT-UN | CT Real Estate | 0.08 | 3 per month | 0.68 | (0.05) | 1.14 | (1.05) | 3.38 | |
| BEI-UN | Boardwalk Real Estate | 0.01 | 7 per month | 1.01 | (0.02) | 1.46 | (1.46) | 4.81 | |
| DIR-UN | Dream Industrial Real | 0.03 | 9 per month | 0.86 | 0.06 | 1.75 | (1.72) | 6.78 | |
| NWH-UN | NorthWest Healthcare Properties | 0.03 | 9 per month | 0.91 | 0.07 | 2.30 | (1.84) | 15.77 |
Other Forecasting Options for Chartwell Retirement
For every potential investor in Chartwell, whether a beginner or expert, Chartwell Retirement's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chartwell Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chartwell. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chartwell Retirement's price trends.Chartwell Retirement Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Chartwell Retirement stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Chartwell Retirement could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chartwell Retirement by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Chartwell Retirement Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Chartwell Retirement stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Chartwell Retirement shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Chartwell Retirement stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Chartwell Retirement Residences entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Chartwell Retirement Risk Indicators
The analysis of Chartwell Retirement's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Chartwell Retirement's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting chartwell stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9829 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Variance | 1.72 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.71 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.53 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.04) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Chartwell Retirement
The number of cover stories for Chartwell Retirement depends on current market conditions and Chartwell Retirement's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chartwell Retirement is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chartwell Retirement's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Chartwell Retirement Short Properties
Chartwell Retirement's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chartwell Retirement's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chartwell Retirement Residences often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chartwell Retirement's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chartwell Retirement's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 260.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20 M |
Other Information on Investing in Chartwell Stock
Chartwell Retirement financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chartwell Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chartwell with respect to the benefits of owning Chartwell Retirement security.