China Enterprises Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

CSHEF Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of China Enterprises Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000097 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000634 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0004. China Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of China Enterprises' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for China Enterprises is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of China Enterprises Limited value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

China Enterprises Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of China Enterprises Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000097 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000634, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0004.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict China Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that China Enterprises' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

China Enterprises Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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China Enterprises Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting China Enterprises' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. China Enterprises' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 128.89, respectively. We have considered China Enterprises' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.000001
Downside
0.000097
Expected Value
128.89
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of China Enterprises pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent China Enterprises pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria96.2387
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors4.0E-4
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of China Enterprises Limited. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict China Enterprises. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for China Enterprises

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Enterprises. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of China Enterprises' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000150.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00006350.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.0000970.0000970.000097
Details

Other Forecasting Options for China Enterprises

For every potential investor in China, whether a beginner or expert, China Enterprises' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. China Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in China. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying China Enterprises' price trends.

China Enterprises Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with China Enterprises pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of China Enterprises could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Enterprises by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

China Enterprises Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of China Enterprises' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of China Enterprises' current price.

China Enterprises Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how China Enterprises pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading China Enterprises shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying China Enterprises pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify China Enterprises Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in China Pink Sheet

China Enterprises financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Enterprises security.