Calvert Equity Mutual Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

Calvert Equity Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CALVERT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CALVERT using various technical indicators. When you analyze CALVERT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Calvert Equity is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Calvert Equity Portfolio value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Calvert Equity Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Calvert Equity Portfolio on the next trading day is expected to be 69.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.65, mean absolute percentage error of 6.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 100.87.

Calvert Equity Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Calvert Equity Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Calvert Equity mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Calvert Equity mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Calvert Equity Portfolio. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Calvert Equity. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Calvert Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Calvert Equity Portfolio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 63.00 67.15 71.30 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 66.57 70.72 74.87 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 66.24 67.34 68.44 Details

Calvert Equity After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Calvert Equity Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Calvert Equity Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Calvert Equity Hype Timeline

Calvert Equity Portfolio is currently traded for 67.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. CALVERT is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.5%. %. The volatility of related hype on Calvert Equity is about 9880.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 67.13. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Calvert Equity to cross-verify your projections.

Calvert Equity Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Calvert Equity

For every potential investor in CALVERT, whether a beginner or expert, Calvert Equity's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CALVERT Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CALVERT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Calvert Equity's price trends.

Calvert Equity Related Equities

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