CS Real Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CSLP Fund | CHF 148.20 0.80 0.54% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CS Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 150.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 135.94. CSLP Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of CS Real's share price is approaching 48 suggesting that the fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CS Real, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using CS Real hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CS Real Estate from the perspective of CS Real response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CS Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 150.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 135.94. CS Real after-hype prediction price | CHF 148.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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CS Real Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CSLP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CSLP using various technical indicators. When you analyze CSLP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CS Real Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CS Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 150.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.23, mean absolute percentage error of 26.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 135.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CSLP Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CS Real's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CS Real Fund Forecast Pattern
CS Real Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CS Real's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CS Real's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 145.43 and 155.16, respectively. We have considered CS Real's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CS Real fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CS Real fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.3774 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.2285 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0163 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 135.9385 |
Predictive Modules for CS Real
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CS Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CS Real Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of CS Real at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CS Real or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of CS Real, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CS Real Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as CS Real is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CS Real backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CS Real, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.59 | 4.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
148.20 | 148.20 | 0.00 |
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CS Real Hype Timeline
CS Real Estate is currently traded for 148.20on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. CSLP is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.59%. %. The volatility of related hype on CS Real is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 148.20. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out fundamental analysis of CS Real to check your projections.CS Real Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CS Real's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CS Real's future price movements. Getting to know how CS Real's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CS Real may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SFPF | SF Sustainable Property | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.91 | 0.02 | 1.30 | (1.01) | 14.32 | |
| SREF | Swissinvest Real Estate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.56 | (0.13) | 0.95 | (0.93) | 4.20 | |
| BALSP | Baloise Swiss Property | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.56 | (0.01) | 1.23 | (1.14) | 3.49 | |
| DSPF | Dominice Swiss Property | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 2.18 | (1.08) | 26.16 | |
| CSLP | CS Real Estate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 2.32 | (1.61) | 38.86 | |
| PSCF | Procimmo Real Estate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.25 | 0.09 | 1.11 | (1.10) | 10.59 | |
| SREA | UBS Property | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.40 | 0.03 | 1.31 | (1.13) | 12.03 | |
| RSF | Realstone Swiss Property | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.19 | 1.73 | (0.85) | 15.58 | |
| HOSP | CS Real Estate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 2.02 | (1.20) | 28.07 |
Other Forecasting Options for CS Real
For every potential investor in CSLP, whether a beginner or expert, CS Real's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CSLP Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CSLP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CS Real's price trends.CS Real Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CS Real fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CS Real could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CS Real by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CS Real Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CS Real fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CS Real shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CS Real fund market strength indicators, traders can identify CS Real Estate entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 141.58 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.40) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 149.2 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 148.87 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 2.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.40) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.80) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 48.63 |
CS Real Risk Indicators
The analysis of CS Real's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CS Real's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cslp fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.86 | |||
| Variance | 23.67 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.9021 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.05) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.22) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CS Real
The number of cover stories for CS Real depends on current market conditions and CS Real's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CS Real is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CS Real's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in CSLP Fund
CS Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether CSLP Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CSLP with respect to the benefits of owning CS Real security.
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