China Solar Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

China Solar Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for China Solar is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of China Solar Cln value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

China Solar Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of China Solar Cln on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.46.

China Solar Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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China Solar Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of China Solar pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent China Solar pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of China Solar Cln. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict China Solar. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for China Solar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Solar Cln. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.00 0.03 14.04 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.00 0.02 14.03 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 0.02 0.03 0.04 Details

China Solar After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

China Solar Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

China Solar Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

China Solar Hype Timeline

China Solar Cln is currently traded for 0.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. China is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.0278 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is estimated to be 25.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.74%. The volatility of related hype on China Solar is about 42454.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.04. China Solar Cln currently holds 4.87 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.17, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. China Solar Cln has a current ratio of 1.23, suggesting that it is in a questionable position to pay out its financial obligations when due. Debt can assist China Solar until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, China Solar's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like China Solar Cln sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for China to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about China Solar's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 19 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of China Solar to cross-verify your projections.

China Solar Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for China Solar

For every potential investor in China, whether a beginner or expert, China Solar's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. China Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in China. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying China Solar's price trends.

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