CSP Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

CSPI Stock  USD 14.19  0.62  4.57%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CSP Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 14.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.27. CSP Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CSP's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, CSP's Inventory Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. The CSP's current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 32.05, while Payables Turnover is projected to decrease to 5.95. . The CSP's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 10.8 M. The CSP's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 2.3 M.
A two period moving average forecast for CSP is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

CSP Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CSP Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 14.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.27.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CSP Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CSP's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CSP Stock Forecast Pattern

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CSP Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CSP's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CSP's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.65 and 16.73, respectively. We have considered CSP's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.19
14.19
Expected Value
16.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CSP stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CSP stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.611
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0078
MADMean absolute deviation0.3097
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0245
SAESum of the absolute errors18.27
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of CSP Inc price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of CSP. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for CSP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CSP Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.6614.2016.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.7726.1728.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.9212.8913.86
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
59.1565.0072.15
Details

Other Forecasting Options for CSP

For every potential investor in CSP, whether a beginner or expert, CSP's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CSP Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CSP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CSP's price trends.

CSP Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CSP stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CSP could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CSP by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CSP Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CSP's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CSP's current price.

CSP Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CSP stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CSP shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CSP stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CSP Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CSP Risk Indicators

The analysis of CSP's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CSP's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting csp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether CSP Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of CSP's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Csp Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Csp Inc Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CSP to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is IT Consulting & Other Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CSP. If investors know CSP will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CSP listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.333
Dividend Share
0.105
Earnings Share
0.28
Revenue Per Share
6.409
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.26)
The market value of CSP Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CSP that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CSP's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CSP's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CSP's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CSP's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CSP's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CSP is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CSP's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.