Communication System Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| CSS Stock | THB 0.77 0.01 1.28% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Communication System Solution on the next trading day is expected to be 0.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.33. Communication Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the value of rsi of Communication System's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Communication System hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Communication System Solution from the perspective of Communication System response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Communication System Solution on the next trading day is expected to be 0.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.33. Communication System after-hype prediction price | THB 0.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Communication |
Communication System Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Communication price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Communication using various technical indicators. When you analyze Communication charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Communication System Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Communication System Solution on the next trading day is expected to be 0.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000048, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.33.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Communication Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Communication System's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Communication System Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Communication System | Communication System Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Communication System Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Communication System's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Communication System's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 1.70, respectively. We have considered Communication System's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Communication System stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Communication System stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.3266 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 8.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0054 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.007 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.325 |
Predictive Modules for Communication System
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Communication System. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Communication System After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Communication System at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Communication System or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Communication System, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Communication System Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Communication System's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Communication System's historical news coverage. Communication System's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 1.70, respectively. We have considered Communication System's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Communication System is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Communication System is based on 3 months time horizon.
Communication System Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Communication System is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Communication System backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Communication System, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.77 | 0.77 | 0.00 |
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Communication System Hype Timeline
Communication System is currently traded for 0.77on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Communication is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Communication System is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.77. About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.96. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Communication System last dividend was issued on the 24th of August 2022. The entity had 6:5 split on the 12th of May 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Communication System to cross-verify your projections.Communication System Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Communication System's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Communication System's future price movements. Getting to know how Communication System's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Communication System may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SPVI | S P V | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.71 | 0.03 | 3.67 | (3.81) | 15.03 | |
| SVOA | SVOA Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.57 | (3.01) | 7.06 | |
| VCOM | Vintcom Technology PCL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.65 | 0.12 | 1.54 | (1.45) | 7.53 | |
| AJA | AJ Advance Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.22 | (0) | 6.67 | (8.70) | 26.67 | |
| SPREME | SUPREME DISTRIBUTION PUBLIC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.90 | (2.74) | 9.54 | |
| BVG | Blueventure Group PCL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.05 | (3.43) | 9.68 | |
| CPW | Copperwired Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.98 | (2.75) | 9.67 | |
| ALT | ALT Telecom Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.46 | 0.02 | 4.67 | (3.00) | 14.49 | |
| IT | IT City Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.73 | (2.21) | 5.65 | |
| SIMAT | Simat Technologies Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.51 | 0.17 | 7.38 | (6.58) | 25.92 |
Other Forecasting Options for Communication System
For every potential investor in Communication, whether a beginner or expert, Communication System's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Communication Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Communication. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Communication System's price trends.Communication System Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Communication System stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Communication System could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Communication System by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Communication System Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Communication System stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Communication System shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Communication System stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Communication System Solution entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 10577.32 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.50) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.78 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.78 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) |
Communication System Risk Indicators
The analysis of Communication System's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Communication System's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting communication stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6565 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9287 | |||
| Variance | 0.8625 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Communication System
The number of cover stories for Communication System depends on current market conditions and Communication System's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Communication System is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Communication System's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Communication Stock
Communication System financial ratios help investors to determine whether Communication Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Communication with respect to the benefits of owning Communication System security.