Castle Biosciences Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| CSTL Stock | USD 42.24 0.09 0.21% |
Castle Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Castle Biosciences' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Castle Biosciences' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Castle Biosciences fundamentals over time.
As of now the rsi of Castle Biosciences' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.48) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.85) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.15) | Wall Street Target Price 46 |
Using Castle Biosciences hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Castle Biosciences from the perspective of Castle Biosciences response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Castle Biosciences using Castle Biosciences' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Castle using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Castle Biosciences' stock price.
Castle Biosciences Short Interest
An investor who is long Castle Biosciences may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Castle Biosciences and may potentially protect profits, hedge Castle Biosciences with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 25.0942 | Short Percent 0.0591 | Short Ratio 4.14 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.7 M | 50 Day MA 38.7595 |
Castle Biosciences Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Castle Biosciences' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Castle. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Castle can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Castle Biosciences. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Castle Biosciences Implied Volatility | 0.71 |
Castle Biosciences' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Castle Biosciences stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Castle Biosciences' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Castle Biosciences stock will not fluctuate a lot when Castle Biosciences' options are near their expiration.
Castle Biosciences after-hype prediction price | USD 42.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Castle Biosciences to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Castle contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Castle Biosciences will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0444% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Castle Biosciences trading at USD 42.24, that is roughly USD 0.0187 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Castle Biosciences' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Castle Biosciences options at the current volatility level of 0.71%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Castle Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Castle Biosciences' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Castle Biosciences' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Castle Biosciences stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Castle Biosciences' open interest, investors have to compare it to Castle Biosciences' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Castle Biosciences is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Castle. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Castle Biosciences Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Castle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Castle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Castle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 10617.83 | 0.0286 |
| Check Castle Biosciences Volatility | Backtest Castle Biosciences | Information Ratio |
Castle Biosciences Trading Date Momentum
| On January 25 2026 Castle Biosciences was traded for 42.24 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 42.31 and the lowest listed price was 41.10 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 25, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 0.71% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Castle Biosciences to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Castle Biosciences
For every potential investor in Castle, whether a beginner or expert, Castle Biosciences' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Castle Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Castle. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Castle Biosciences' price trends.Castle Biosciences Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Castle Biosciences stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Castle Biosciences could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Castle Biosciences by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Castle Biosciences Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Castle Biosciences stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Castle Biosciences shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Castle Biosciences stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Castle Biosciences entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Castle Biosciences Risk Indicators
The analysis of Castle Biosciences' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Castle Biosciences' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting castle stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6702 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.31 | |||
| Variance | 10.98 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.09 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4492 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.50) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Castle Biosciences
The number of cover stories for Castle Biosciences depends on current market conditions and Castle Biosciences' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Castle Biosciences is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Castle Biosciences' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Castle Biosciences Short Properties
Castle Biosciences' future price predictability will typically decrease when Castle Biosciences' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Castle Biosciences often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Castle Biosciences' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Castle Biosciences' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 293.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Castle Biosciences to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Castle Stock please use our How to buy in Castle Stock guide.You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Castle Biosciences. If investors know Castle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Castle Biosciences listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | Earnings Share (0.44) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Castle Biosciences is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Castle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Castle Biosciences' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Castle Biosciences' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Castle Biosciences' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Castle Biosciences' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Castle Biosciences' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Castle Biosciences is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Castle Biosciences' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.