Centaurus Energy Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

CTA Stock  CAD 1.95  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Centaurus Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 1.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.85. Centaurus Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of relative strength index of Centaurus Energy's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Centaurus Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Centaurus Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Centaurus Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Centaurus Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Centaurus Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.12)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.47)
Using Centaurus Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Centaurus Energy from the perspective of Centaurus Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Centaurus Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 1.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.85.

Centaurus Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 1.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Centaurus Energy to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, Centaurus Energy's Total Stockholder Equity is fairly stable compared to the past year. Other Liabilities is likely to climb to about 13.9 M in 2026, whereas Other Current Liabilities is likely to drop 4,275 in 2026.

Centaurus Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Centaurus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Centaurus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Centaurus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Centaurus Energy - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Centaurus Energy prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Centaurus Energy price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Centaurus Energy.

Centaurus Energy Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Centaurus Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 1.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.85.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Centaurus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Centaurus Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Centaurus Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Centaurus EnergyCentaurus Energy Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Centaurus Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Centaurus Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Centaurus Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 8.83, respectively. We have considered Centaurus Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.95
1.95
Expected Value
8.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Centaurus Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Centaurus Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0093
MADMean absolute deviation0.0483
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.024
SAESum of the absolute errors2.85
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Centaurus Energy observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Centaurus Energy observations.

Predictive Modules for Centaurus Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Centaurus Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.101.958.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.129.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Centaurus Energy

For every potential investor in Centaurus, whether a beginner or expert, Centaurus Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Centaurus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Centaurus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Centaurus Energy's price trends.

Centaurus Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Centaurus Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Centaurus Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Centaurus Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Centaurus Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Centaurus Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Centaurus Energy's current price.

Centaurus Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Centaurus Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Centaurus Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Centaurus Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Centaurus Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Centaurus Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Centaurus Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Centaurus Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting centaurus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Centaurus Stock Analysis

When running Centaurus Energy's price analysis, check to measure Centaurus Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Centaurus Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Centaurus Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Centaurus Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Centaurus Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Centaurus Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.