Ctac NV Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

CTAC Stock  EUR 2.68  0.02  0.75%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Ctac NV on the next trading day is expected to be 2.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.59. Ctac Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Ctac NV is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Ctac NV Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Ctac NV on the next trading day is expected to be 2.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.59.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ctac Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ctac NV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ctac NV Stock Forecast Pattern

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Ctac NV Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ctac NV's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ctac NV's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.59 and 4.75, respectively. We have considered Ctac NV's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.68
2.67
Expected Value
4.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ctac NV stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ctac NV stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.7817
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0083
MADMean absolute deviation0.0439
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0153
SAESum of the absolute errors2.59
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Ctac NV price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Ctac NV. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Ctac NV

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ctac NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.582.664.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.682.764.84
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Ctac NV

For every potential investor in Ctac, whether a beginner or expert, Ctac NV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ctac Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ctac. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ctac NV's price trends.

Ctac NV Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ctac NV stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ctac NV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ctac NV by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ctac NV Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ctac NV's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ctac NV's current price.

Ctac NV Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ctac NV stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ctac NV shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ctac NV stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ctac NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ctac NV Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ctac NV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ctac NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ctac stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Ctac Stock Analysis

When running Ctac NV's price analysis, check to measure Ctac NV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ctac NV is operating at the current time. Most of Ctac NV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ctac NV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ctac NV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ctac NV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.